Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Caesars Entertainment (CZR)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryGambling, Resorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-11-04
$29.18-0.61%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryGambling, Resorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
Matching fiscal periods, usable estimates and at least one analyst are required.
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least one analyst and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for CZR yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Enhance cash flow from operations | The company aims to improve cash flow to support debt reduction. | Improving | Cash from operations falls below $200M next year | Cash from operations: $267M FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: Cash from operations >= $250M next 4 quarters. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Oct 27, 2026267,000,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Next earnings date unavailable
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a cyclical casino and digital-gaming business, not a proven steady compounder, and the current long-term thesis is intact. Recent financial performance is strong relative to its industry, but earnings quality remains loss-making and the evidence snapshot gives medium confidence.
The valuation evidence points to CZR being cheap versus peers, while the model also indicates expectations are above what its fundamentals support. That gap has low model confidence, and the snapshot labels pricing as justified with low fragility, so the valuation signal is not clear-cut.
Near term, the risk of another earnings miss is elevated after a run of misses, despite the overall risk label recently moving from elevated to moderate. In the latest quarter, Caesars Digital revenue and adjusted EBITDA increased year over year, and net debt was lower than at year-end 2025; however, the disclosed results do not establish progress on free cash flow or completion of the pending Fertitta acquisition.
The multi-year thesis depends partly on sustained growth in Caesars Digital, measurable debt reduction, and progress on the pending acquisition. Near term, a guidance cut would be a meaningful negative, while results and guidance from sector bellwethers such as LVS, DKNG, and WYNN may signal whether the sector tailwind strengthens or fades.
Over the next 1 to 3 years, CZR has a mixed setup: recent operating performance supports an intact thesis, but repeated earnings misses and incomplete evidence on cash flow and acquisition progress remain important checks. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| Operating income improved slightly to $500M in Q1 2026. |
| Intact |
| Operating income falls below $480M next quarter |
Operating income: $457M FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: Operating income >= $500M next quarter. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Oct 27, 2026457,000,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Modest revenue growth across segments | A primary condition in Caesars Entertainment's published investment case. The stated target is >=3% YoY revenue growth. | Improving | YoY revenue growth falls below 2% next year | Revenue growth: 2.47% FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: >=3% YoY revenue growth. Reported actuals cannot certify a consensus target without an explicit period and accounting-basis binding. Oct 27, 20262.47473 percent · calculatedLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$0.84 → $-0.21 · observed estimates
$12.13B → $12.08B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $0.84 | $12,134,143,890 | 5 / 17 |
| 2026-07-25 | $0.84 | $12,146,614,480 | 5 / 17 |
| 2026-07-26 | $0.84 | $12,146,614,480 | 5 / 17 |
| 2026-07-27 | $0.84 | $12,146,614,480 | 5 / 17 |
| 2026-07-28 | $0.84 | $12,146,614,480 | 5 / 17 |
| 2026-07-29 | $0.84 | $12,146,859,140 | 5 / 17 |
| 2026-07-30 | $0.19 | $12,146,260,528 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-07-31 | $0.82 | $12,166,398,430 | 3 / 17 |
| 2026-08-01 | $0.19 | $12,146,260,528 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-08-02 | $0.19 | $12,146,260,528 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-08-03 | $0.19 | $12,146,260,528 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-08-04 | $0.19 | $12,146,260,528 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-08-05 | $0.72 | $12,164,200,520 | 3 / 17 |
| 2026-08-06 | $0.72 | $12,164,200,520 | 3 / 17 |
| 2026-08-07 | $0.16 | $12,147,485,556 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-08-08 | $0.72 | $12,164,200,520 | 3 / 17 |
| 2026-08-09 | $0.72 | $12,164,200,520 | 3 / 17 |
| 2026-08-10 | $0.16 | $12,147,485,556 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-08-11 | $0.72 | $12,164,200,520 | 3 / 17 |
| 2026-08-12 | $0.16 | $12,147,485,556 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-08-13 | $0.16 | $12,147,485,556 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-08-14 | $0.16 | $12,147,485,556 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-08-15 | $0.16 | $12,147,485,556 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-08-16 | $0.16 | $12,147,485,556 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-08-17 | $0.16 | $12,147,485,556 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-08-18 | $0.16 | $12,147,485,556 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-08-19 | $0.16 | $12,147,485,556 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-08-20 | $0.22 | $12,147,485,556 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-08-21 | $0.22 | $12,147,485,556 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-08-22 | $0.22 | $12,147,485,556 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-08-23 | $0.22 | $12,147,485,556 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-08-24 | $0.22 | $12,147,485,556 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-08-25 | $0.22 | $12,147,485,556 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-08-26 | $0.22 | $12,147,485,556 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-08-27 | $0.22 | $12,147,485,556 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-08-28 | $0.22 | $12,147,485,556 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-08-29 | $0.22 | $12,147,485,556 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-08-30 | $0.22 | $12,147,485,556 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-08-31 | $0.22 | $12,147,485,556 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-01 | $0.22 | $12,147,485,556 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-02 | $0.22 | $12,148,993,853 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-03 | $0.22 | $12,148,993,853 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-04 | $0.22 | $12,148,993,853 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-05 | $0.22 | $12,148,993,853 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-06 | $0.22 | $12,148,993,853 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-07 | $0.22 | $12,148,993,853 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-08 | $0.22 | $12,148,993,853 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-09 | $0.22 | $12,148,993,853 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-10 | $0.22 | $12,148,993,853 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-11 | $0.22 | $12,148,993,853 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-12 | $0.22 | $12,148,993,853 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-13 | $0.22 | $12,148,993,853 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-14 | $0.22 | $12,148,993,853 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-15 | $0.22 | $12,148,993,853 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-16 | $0.22 | $12,148,993,853 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-17 | $0.22 | $12,148,993,853 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-18 | $0.22 | $12,148,993,853 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-19 | $0.22 | $12,148,993,853 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-20 | $0.22 | $12,148,993,853 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-21 | $0.22 | $12,148,993,853 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-22 | $0.22 | $12,151,306,353 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-23 | $0.22 | $12,151,306,353 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-24 | $0.22 | $12,151,306,353 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-25 | $0.22 | $12,151,306,353 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-26 | $0.22 | $12,151,306,353 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-27 | $0.22 | $12,151,306,353 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-28 | $0.22 | $12,151,306,353 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-29 | $0.22 | $12,151,306,353 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-09-30 | $0.22 | $12,151,306,353 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-01 | $0.22 | $12,151,306,353 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-02 | $0.22 | $12,151,306,353 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-03 | $0.22 | $12,151,306,353 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-04 | $0.22 | $12,151,306,353 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-05 | $0.22 | $12,151,306,353 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-06 | $0.22 | $12,151,306,353 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-07 | $0.22 | $12,151,306,353 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-08 | $0.18 | $12,141,737,853 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-09 | $0.18 | $12,141,737,853 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-10 | $0.18 | $12,141,737,853 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-11 | $0.18 | $12,141,737,853 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-12 | $0.18 | $12,141,737,853 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-13 | $0.17 | $12,133,277,601 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-14 | $0.14 | $12,131,237,538 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-15 | $0.14 | $12,131,237,538 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-16 | $0.14 | $12,131,237,538 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-17 | $0.14 | $12,131,237,538 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-18 | $0.14 | $12,131,237,538 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-19 | $0.14 | $12,131,237,538 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-20 | $0.14 | $12,131,237,538 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-21 | $0.10 | $12,124,469,952 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-22 | $0.10 | $12,124,469,952 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-23 | $0.10 | $12,119,871,455 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-24 | $0.10 | $12,119,871,455 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-25 | $0.10 | $12,119,871,455 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-26 | $0.10 | $12,119,871,455 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-27 | $0.10 | $12,119,871,455 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-28 | $0.01 | $12,117,259,072 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-29 | $-0.15 | $12,102,263,339 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-30 | $-0.15 | $12,102,283,339 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-10-31 | $-0.15 | $12,102,283,339 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-11-01 | $-0.15 | $12,102,283,339 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-11-02 | $-0.15 | $12,102,283,339 | 7 / 13 |
| 2026-11-03 | $-0.21 | $12,078,105,816 | 8 / 13 |
| 2026-11-04 | $-0.21 | $12,078,105,816 | 8 / 13 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 1 Buy / Strong Buy · 14 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.