Caesars Entertainment (CZR)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryGambling, Resorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-09-04
$29.680.00%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryGambling, Resorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CZR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -25.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.2% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 28.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 16 industry peers
CZR — earnings miss
Dated 2026-07-28
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. Attached and incorporated herein by reference as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of the press release of the Registrant, dated July 28, 2026 , reporting the Registrant’s financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. The information contained in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including the exhibit furnished herewith, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise incorporat…
Why it matters: Litigation outcomes can affect financial stability. They can also impact future growth. This is a risk to watch.
Worry ifIf the lawsuit ends well, it can reduce financial risk.
Less concerning ifIf the ruling is bad, it can increase financial risk from the lawsuit.
Why it matters: Revenue growth is key for Caesars. A drop below 5% signals trouble in their growth strategy.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth reported below 5% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue growth reported above 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Litigation could delay or derail the merger. Monitoring this helps gauge transaction risk.
Worry ifNo new litigation filed against the merger by July 2026.
Less concerning ifA new lawsuit challenges the merger before it closes.
Why it matters: A drop below this level could raise concerns about liquidity and cash flow.
Worry ifCash and cash equivalents reported below $900 million in Q3.
Less concerning ifCash and cash equivalents remain above $900 million in Q3.
Why it matters: A bigger drop would show worse conditions in the Las Vegas market.
Worry ifLas Vegas net revenues decline more than 3.5% in Q3.
Less concerning ifLas Vegas net revenues stabilize or grow in Q3.
Why it matters: Better cash flow helps lower debt and improve financial stability.
Supportive ifOperating cash flow increases above $300 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifOperating cash flow remains below $300 million in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Lower cash flow would show worse financial health and money issues.
Worry ifCash flow from operations reported below $204 million in Q3.
Less concerning ifCash flow from operations reported above $204 million in Q3.
Why it matters: Growth in operating income shows how well a company is running. If growth is below 2%, it means cost management is not improving much.
Worry ifOperating income growth is below 2% compared to last year.
Less concerning ifOperating income growth is above 2% compared to last year.
Why it matters: Exceeding this level shows better cash generation. It also helps reduce debt.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations exceeds $300 million in Q3.
Worry ifCash flow from operations falls below $200 million in Q3.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$34 on $10,000 · ±0.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $404 loss on $10,000 · 4.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,491 loss on $10,000 · 34.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.