Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Data I/O Corp (DAIO)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$2.37-2.07%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
0.15 → 0.15 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 1 analyst
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 1 to 1; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for DAIO yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Management reduces earnings misses and improves results | The company is working to fix recent earnings misses. | Intact | Earnings miss recurs in next 4 quarters | Diluted EPS: $-0.17 per share FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: No earnings misses in next 4 quarters. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Aug 14, 2026-0.17 USD/share · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Next earnings date unavailable
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a speculative turnaround, meaning the thesis depends on the business improving from a weak starting point. The thesis is in watch status: the acquisition is completed and costs have fallen, but the company remains loss-making and recent results trail its industry cohort.
The valuation model describes DAIO as cheap versus peers, but its confidence is low and the expectations gap is negative. The supplied evidence labels the setup as justified and shows low fragility, but does not provide enough detail to say precisely what operating improvement the market assumes.
Near-term execution remains uncertain, with elevated risk of another earnings miss after a run of misses. Operating expenses fell between the first and second quarters of 2026, and the operating loss narrowed, but remained negative; prior-year comparisons also show lower revenue in both quarters. The completed acquisition more than doubled consolidated revenue according to management, but post-acquisition results are not yet available.
The multi-year thesis depends on whether acquired revenue can support sustained growth and whether management can keep improving efficiency while expanding recurring services. Near term, a guidance cut would add pressure, while rate cuts or steadier results from large technology peers could improve the sector backdrop.
Over the next 1 to 3 years, DAIO’s thesis rests on turning acquisition-led scale and lower expenses into durable revenue growth and narrower losses; evidence so far is mixed, and near-term earnings risk is elevated. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A supporting condition in Data I/O Corp's published investment case. The stated target is Free cash flow yield > 0%. |
| Broken |
| Free cash flow yield remains below 0% in FY26 |
Valuation inputs unavailable A completed valuation measurement is required. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Q2 2026 revenue reaches about $5.2 million | A primary condition in Data I/O Corp's published investment case. The stated target is ~$5.2M. | Intact | Q2 2026 revenue falls below $5.0M | Revenue: $5.149M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: ~$5.2M. The target does not explicitly identify fiscal versus calendar quarters. Aug 14, 20265,149,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$0.15 → $0.15 · observed estimates
$0.03B → $0.03B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-25 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-26 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-27 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-28 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-29 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-30 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-31 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-01 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-03 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-04 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-05 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-06 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-07 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-09 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-10 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-11 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-12 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-13 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-14 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-16 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-17 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-18 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-19 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-20 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-21 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-24 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-25 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-26 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-27 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-31 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-01 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-02 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-10 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-01 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-02 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-03 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-05 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-06 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-07 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-12 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-13 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-14 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-16 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-17 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-19 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-21 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-03 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | $0.15 | $27,750,000 | 1 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 1 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.