Data I/O Corp (DAIO)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$2.37-2.07%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DAIO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -68.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 47.0% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 115.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 24 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
DAIO — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…
Dated 2026-10-29
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information set forth in
Why it matters: Data I/O completed the purchase on October 20. Management said the deal could more than double revenue. The next results will show its actual size.
Supportive ifThe first post-deal quarter reports revenue above twice the $5.15 million reported in Q2 2026, with V-TEK and A&J included.
Worry ifThe first post-deal quarter shows revenue of $5.15 million or less. Or it leaves out the acquired businesses.
Why it matters: Data I/O said the IAR assets would add security software to its platform. The supplied events do not show if that deal closed.
Watch forA company filing or release confirms the IAR deal closed and lists the assets Data I/O acquired.
Also watch forA company filing or release says the IAR deal was ended, delayed, or changed in scope.
Why it matters: Q2 revenue was below the prior-year quarter. Service and adapter sales were 55% of revenue. Growth in both areas would show the core business is gaining ground.
Supportive ifA quarterly report shows revenue above $5.95 million, Q2 2025 revenue. Service and adapter sales are above 55% of total revenue.
Worry ifA quarterly report shows revenue of $5.15 million or less, Q2 2026 revenue. Service and adapter sales are below 55%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$170 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $419 loss on $10,000 · 4.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,484 loss on $10,000 · 44.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.