Digital Brands Group Inc (DBGI)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.47-25.14%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DBGI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -77.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -24.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 52.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of —
DBGI — legal / regulatory event
Dated 2026-11-02
have the meanings ascribed to them in the Note or the Registration Rights Agreement, as applicable. In the Notice, the Holder asserted that, pursuant to Sections 2.1 and 2.2 of the Note, the Note is immediately due and payable in full at the Mandatory Default Amount, equal to 120% of outstanding principal, accrued interest and other amounts owing, plus additional amounts, including liquidated damages under the Registration Rights Agreement, arising from the alleged failure to timely file the…
Why it matters: AVO plans new bookstore displays, retailer sales, and higher-margin products. These launches can show whether its growth plan reaches more buyers.
Supportive ifWithin 90 days of October 26, the company names a new retail chain or confirms a store-in-store launch. It also confirms a higher-margin product launch.
Worry ifBy January 24, 2027, the company has not named a new retail chain or confirmed either planned launch.
Why it matters: Q2 revenue fell from Q1, and the company remains loss-making. The November 13 earnings report can test whether sales are turning up.
Supportive ifThe November 13 report shows quarterly revenue above Q2's $1,208,170.
Worry ifThe November 13 report shows quarterly revenue of $1,208,170 or less, or an operating loss greater than Q2's $7,473,206.
Why it matters: The company plans monthly reviews of whether to stay public or go private. A signed deal would resolve that open question; no deal keeps the review in play.
Watch forThe company files a deal agreement or names a new buyer and shares the terms of an acquisition.
Also watch forThe company says no deal was reached and confirms it will continue as a public company after a review.
Why it matters: The company raised its cash flow forecast from $3.3 million to $4.7 million. Cash received by December 31 tests whether the contract is delivering.
Supportive ifA company update or filing confirms at least $4.7 million in U.S. Program cash flow from September 1 through December 31, 2026.
Worry ifA company update or filing reports less than $4.7 million in cash flow for that period, or says the contract was delayed.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$761 on $10,000 · ±7.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $2,365 loss on $10,000 · 23.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,992 loss on $10,000 · 99.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: AVO says ad spending is rising and ROAS has not fallen. The next update can show if the brand can grow ads without losing returns.
Supportive ifA company update shows ad spending rose, while ROAS stayed level or rose from the October 26 update.
Worry ifA company update shows ROAS fell as ad spending rose, or reports lower conversion rates.