Ducommun, Inc. (DCO)
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
$132.50-15.24%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DCO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -5.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 10.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 16.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 23 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
DCO — legal / regulatory event — Non-Reliance on Previously Issued Financial Statements or a Related Audit Rep…
Dated 2026-05-01
Non-Reliance on Previously Issued Financial Statements or a Related Audit Report or Completed Interim Review. While preparing the first quarter 2026 consolidated financial statements of Ducommun Incorporated (the “Company” or “Ducommun”), management identified an error in the Company’s historical consolidated financial statements relating to the timing of stock-based compensation expense recognition (the “Error”). In particular, the Company did not apply the proper accounting for changes made…
Why it matters: The next report can show whether record sales and high RPO continue. The industrial sector is mature and slowing, adding a test.
Watch forThe November 5 report shows revenue above $224.5 million and RPO above Q2's $1.2 billion.
Also watch forThe report shows revenue below $224.5 million and RPO below $1.2 billion.
Why it matters: Q2 bookings were strong, and management points to a major missile production ramp. More orders and sales would support that view.
Supportive ifQ3 missile revenue rises from a year ago. Missile orders push bookings above Q2's $309.7 million level.
Worry ifQ3 missile revenue falls year over year, or total bookings fall below Q2's $309.7 million.
Why it matters: VISION 2027 sets an 18% adjusted EBITDA margin goal. Q2 reached 17.1%, so the next report tests progress.
Supportive ifThe November 5, 2026 earnings report shows an adjusted EBITDA margin of at least 18%.
Worry ifThe report shows adjusted EBITDA margin below 17.1%, down from Q2 2026.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$157 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $427 loss on $10,000 · 4.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,447 loss on $10,000 · 24.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.