Dillard's Inc (DDS)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryDepartment StoresSnapshot 2026-11-04
$607.62-5.96%
Close 2026-11-03 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryDepartment StoresSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DDS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 15.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 8.8 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 0 industry peers
DDS — legal / regulatory event — Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standar…
Dated 2026-09-18
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing On September 17, 2026, Dillard’s, Inc. (the “Company”), acting pursuant to authorization from its Board of Directors (the “Board”), notified the New York Stock Exchange (“NYSE”) of its intention to voluntarily withdraw the primary listings of the Company’s Class A common stock, par value $0.01 per share (the “Common Stock”), and the 7.50% Capital Securities of Dillard’s Capital Trust I (and the…
Why it matters: Q2 retail margin was 40.9%, but tariff refunds added 260 basis points. The company said it expects no more large refunds.
Worry ifQ3 retail gross margin falls below 38.3%, the prior-year Q2 margin, with no large tariff refund to offset it.
Less concerning ifQ3 retail gross margin stays at or above 40.9% without a large tariff refund.
Why it matters: Sales rose 1% in Q2 after rising 3% in Q1. A gain above 1% would show that store sales growth held up.
Supportive ifIn the November 12 results, comparable-store sales rise more than 1% year over year.
Worry ifIn the November 12 results, comparable-store sales are flat or fall year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$155 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $470 loss on $10,000 · 4.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,707 loss on $10,000 · 27.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.