Douglas Emmett (DEI)
NYSEReal EstateReit - OfficeSnapshot 2026-09-04
$11.42+1.24%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - OfficeSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DEI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -23.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 26.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 16 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
DEI — President transition
Dated 2026-04-10
Director — Leslie E. Bider: Mr. Leslie E. Bider retired as a director, and Mr. Andy Cohen was elected to the Board.
Why it matters: A rebound in revenue growth could signal a positive shift for the real estate sector.
Watch forSector revenue growth speeds up above 7% year over year.
Also watch forSector revenue growth continues to slow below 7% year over year.
Why it matters: Positive absorption shows demand for office space. This affects future leasing.
Supportive ifNet positive absorption in office properties is over 100,000 square feet.
Worry ifNet absorption turns negative.
Why it matters: Occupancy rates affect cash flow and how well properties perform in a tough market.
Supportive ifThe occupancy rate in the apartment buildings is 99.6% or higher.
Worry ifThe occupancy rate in the apartment buildings is below 99.5%.
Why it matters: Stable occupancy rates show demand is coming back in the office sector.
Supportive ifOccupancy rates will be over 75% in the next quarter.
Worry ifOccupancy rates drop below 75% for two quarters in a row.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$131 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $315 loss on $10,000 · 3.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,410 loss on $10,000 · 44.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A higher occupancy rate shows more demand for office space. This is important for revenue.
Supportive ifThe office buildings are more than 80.9% full.
Worry ifOccupancy rate falls below 80.4%.
Why it matters: EPS guidance shows how much money the company makes. It also shows overall financial health.
Worry ifManagement confirms EPS guidance between $(0.20) and $(0.14) in the next earnings call.
Less concerning ifManagement revises EPS guidance worse than $(0.20) in the next earnings call.
Why it matters: Positive absorption rates signal strong demand for office space and can boost revenue.
Supportive ifOffice portfolio net absorption exceeds 100,000 square feet for the next quarter.
Worry ifOffice portfolio net absorption falls below 100,000 square feet.
Why it matters: Revenue growth shows if the company is dealing with current sector challenges.
Supportive ifQ1 2026 earnings report shows revenue growth year over year of at least 5%.
Worry ifQ1 2026 earnings report shows revenue decline year over year.
Why it matters: The payout ratio shows how much profit goes back to shareholders. This affects investor trust.
Worry ifAFFO payout ratio remains below 80%.
Less concerning ifAFFO payout ratio exceeds 85%.
Why it matters: Same property cash NOI growth indicates the health of the existing portfolio. A decline could signal trouble.
Supportive ifSame property cash NOI grows year over year by more than 4.2%.
Worry ifSame property cash NOI declines year over year.
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows financial strength and care for shareholders.
Supportive ifA quarterly dividend of $0.19 per share is declared in the next earnings.
Worry ifA dividend cut or reduction is announced in the next earnings.
Why it matters: Staying within the loss guidance shows good cost management with high interest rates.
Supportive ifNet loss per common share stays between $(0.20) and $(0.16).
Worry ifNet loss per common share exceeds $(0.20).
Why it matters: Meeting the FFO guidance shows strong performance and good financial health.
Supportive ifFFO per fully diluted share reaches between $1.39 and $1.43.
Worry ifFFO per fully diluted share falls below $1.39.
Why it matters: Completion would enhance the portfolio and support future cash flow from new units.
Supportive ifThe Landmark Residences project is now complete.
Worry ifThere are new delays or issues in the project timeline.
Why it matters: This acquisition could boost revenue and cash flow. It is a significant investment in a key market.
Supportive ifThe acquisition leads to an increase in FFO or cash flow within the next two quarters.
Worry ifThe acquisition does not help FFO or cash flow.
Why it matters: FFO below $1.39 shows trouble in making money due to rising costs.
Worry ifFFO per fully diluted share reported below $1.39 in the next quarterly results.
Less concerning ifFFO per fully diluted share reported at or above $1.39 in the next quarterly results.
Why it matters: Leasing success would support the redevelopment plan and boost cash flow.
Supportive ifBig leasing progress at Landmark Residences is expected in the next quarter.
Worry ifNo leasing progress at Landmark Residences is expected in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Higher interest rates may raise debt costs and hurt profits.
Worry ifInterest rates may rise a lot in the next Federal Reserve meeting on September 16.
Less concerning ifInterest rates may stay the same or go down in the next Federal Reserve meeting on September 16.