DRAGONFLY ENERGY HOLDINGS CORP (DFLI)
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$1.09+5.83%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
Broken: Primary pillar broken — Improve operating income to about -$5.7M: Q2 operating income -1.9M vs -5.7M target; Q3 guide -2.4M.
Dragonfly aims to improve operating income from -$10.2M to -$5.7M. Revenue guidance is about $13.2M next quarter. The company works on cost control and growth. New management changes may help stabilize results.
Revenue fell from $13.1M to $9.7M recently. Profit dropped from $2.4M to $1.7M. The company is still losing money and cut guidance. Legal issues and earnings misses add risk.
The market expects about 35% revenue growth. Our fair value is $17.31, showing the stock is cheap versus peers. We see risk as guidance was cut and earnings remain negative.
Breaks if: Gross profit stays below $1.7M beyond 2026-Q1
Breaks if: Operating income remains below -$5.7M beyond 2026-Q1
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a turnaround story with a focus on achieving positive Adjusted EBITDA and expanding revenue through partnerships. The current thesis state is cautious, reflecting recent financial struggles and volatility in management performance.
The market appears to have priced in a low valuation compared to peers, indicating that expectations are modest. However, the fundamentals show a significant gap, suggesting that investors may be anticipating further challenges.
Management is on track to improve Adjusted EBITDA and expand revenue, but recent financial performance has been weak. There is a high probability of an earnings miss in the near term, which could further impact sentiment.
The long-term thesis hinges on the ability of DFLI to meet its Adjusted EBITDA target and successfully integrate the Dakota Lithium acquisition. Additionally, the performance of sector bellwethers will be crucial in determining the broader industrial momentum.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Yes, our read has weakened. The latest earnings report showed a miss. This miss is a significant threat to the company's outlook. Recent financial performance remains weak compared to its industry peers. The overall market is also experiencing a risk-off sentiment.
as of 2026-09-04
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Focus on improving operating income through cost management and revenue growth.
Breaks if: Revenue falls below $9.7M next quarter
Over the next 1 to 3 years, DFLI's success will depend on effective management execution and favorable sector conditions. Not investment advice.