DRAGONFLY ENERGY HOLDINGS CORP (DFLI)
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$1.09+5.83%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DFLI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -89.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 34.9% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 124.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 32 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
DFLI — legal / regulatory event — Notice
Dated 2026-08-21
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. On August 20, 2026, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (the “Company”) received a letter (the “Letter”) from the Listing Qualifications Department of The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC (“Nasdaq”) indicating that the Company was not in compliance with the minimum stockholders’ equity requirement for continued listing on the Nasdaq Capital Market, under Listing Rule 5550(b)(1), because the Company’s stock…
Why it matters: Hitting this sales target shows demand is recovering. It also supports growth plans.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 net sales reported at or above $13.2 million.
Worry ifQ2 2026 net sales fall below $12 million.
Why it matters: The outcome of the trade libel lawsuit could impact the company's reputation and sales. This is crucial for recovery.
Watch forThe court rules for Dragonfly Energy. This improves their reputation.
Also watch forThe court rules against Dragonfly Energy. This harms their reputation.
Why it matters: A larger loss would indicate challenges in cost management and revenue growth. This could delay the goal of positive Adjusted EBITDA.
Worry ifQ3 2026 Adjusted EBITDA loss worse than $(2.4) million.
Less concerning ifQ3 2026 Adjusted EBITDA loss better than $(2.4) million.
Why it matters: The result could affect how customers feel and future sales.
Watch forLegal proceedings end with a good result for Dragonfly Energy.
Also watch forLegal proceedings end with a bad result for Dragonfly Energy.
Why it matters: Fulfilling orders would show the company can grow. It would mean they can meet trucking demand.
Supportive ifCompletion of the $3 million order from Stevens Transport as scheduled.
Worry ifThere are delays or problems with the Stevens Transport order.
Why it matters: If Dakota Lithium makes more money, it shows the acquisition was good. It also helps Dragonfly reach more customers.
Supportive ifDakota Lithium contributes at least $3 million in revenue in Q4 2026.
Worry ifDakota Lithium does not contribute any revenue in Q4 2026.
Why it matters: Following Nasdaq rules is key for keeping investor trust and access to the market.
Worry ifGet proof that the company meets Nasdaq listing rules.
Less concerning ifFurther notice of non-compliance from Nasdaq.
Why it matters: The outcome of this lawsuit could impact the company's reputation and finances. Legal issues can create uncertainty.
Worry ifA court ruling or settlement that clears the company of claims.
Less concerning ifA ruling against the company leads to big financial penalties.
Why it matters: The outcome could affect the company's image and finances. A good result may boost customer feelings.
Watch forA good ruling in the trade libel lawsuit against William Errol Prowse IV.
Also watch forA bad ruling in the trade libel lawsuit against William Errol Prowse IV.
Why it matters: A doubling of revenue would confirm the company's growth in the trucking market, a key focus area.
Supportive ifQ3 heavy-duty trucking revenue is over $6.8 million. This shows growth from Q2.
Worry ifQ3 heavy-duty trucking revenue is below $6.8 million. This shows slower growth.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$227 on $10,000 · ±2.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,161 loss on $10,000 · 11.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,487 loss on $10,000 · 94.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.