DRAGONFLY ENERGY HOLDINGS CORP (DFLI)
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$1.74-14.29%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DFLI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -84.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 51.4% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 135.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 17 industry peers
DFLI — legal / regulatory event — Notice of
Dated 2026-10-23
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. As previously disclosed, on August 20, 2026, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (the “Company”) received a letter from the Listing Qualifications Department (the “Staff”) of The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC (“Nasdaq”), indicating that the Company was not in compliance with the minimum stockholders’ equity requirement for continued listing on the Nasdaq Capital Market, under Listing Rule 5550(b)(1), be…
Why it matters: Dragonfly changed its outside auditor in September. The next filing can show whether the handoff brings any delay or accounting issue.
Worry ifThe next filing is late, or reports a material accounting issue tied to the auditor change.
Less concerning ifThe next filing arrives on time with no reported material accounting issue.
Why it matters: Dragonfly paid $4 million for Dakota Lithium assets. Q4 is the first test of whether the brand adds sales and helps profit.
Supportive ifQ4 results show strong Dakota Lithium sales. The brand also adds to Adjusted EBITDA.
Worry ifQ4 results show little or no Dakota Lithium sales. Or the brand lowers Adjusted EBITDA.
Why it matters: This is a near-term test of OEM growth and trucking sales. Q2 sales were $13.2 million.
Watch forQ3 net sales are at least $13.5 million.
Also watch forQ3 net sales are below $13.5 million.
Why it matters: The loss tests whether cost cuts can offset near-term costs. The company also targets profit at a $70 million yearly sales pace.
Watch forQ3 Adjusted EBITDA loss is $2.4 million or less.
Also watch forQ3 Adjusted EBITDA loss is greater than $2.4 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$255 on $10,000 · ±2.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,200 loss on $10,000 · 12.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,800 loss on $10,000 · 98.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.