Walt Disney Company (The) (DIS)
NYSECommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
$105.31-1.73%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSECommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DIS
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-06. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $105 DIS trades at 17× p/e, below its 59× p/e peer median. Our $128 fair value sits above the price. We hold it with medium confidence: the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks and quality doesn't explain valuation multiples in this sub-industry, so the peer comparison is a weak guide. Analysts target $110–$133. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $123.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $292.12 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $269.20 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $98.02 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$110.00 – $133.00 (median $123.00) · 11 analysts · as of 2026-08-24
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 86% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 22.0 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $2.89/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| 12M |
| $92.19 |
| 8.1 |
| 14.23 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $82.06 | 17.2 | 4.76 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $377.63 | 59.3 | 6.37 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $86.41 | 1.5 | 56.72 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $78.18 | 12.3 | 6.37 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $69.54 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $108.10 | 17.0 | 6.37 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $399.08 | 59.3 | 6.73 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $124.80 | 17.2 | 7.24 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | low |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $40.17 | 59.3 | 0.68 | Analyst | low |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $11.50 | 17.0 | 0.68 | Analyst | low |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $165.04 | 17.2 | 9.57 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |