Walt Disney Company (The) (DIS)
NYSECommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-11-04
$118.95+4.18%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSECommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DIS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -5.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 11.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 7 industry peers
DIS — President transition
Dated 2026-02-24
Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Communications Officer — Kristina K. Schake: The company terminated Kristina K. Schake's employment without cause.
Why it matters: The sector is in a headwind and has lagged its benchmark over 20 and 60 days. A further drop in growth could add pressure.
Worry ifCommunication Services revenue growth falls below its median. The sector outlook flags this as a key risk.
Less concerning ifCommunication Services revenue growth stays at or above its median. The sector stops trailing its benchmark over 20 and 60 days.
Why it matters: The $100 million refund added about four points to Q3 Experiences income growth. Asia parks also stayed soft.
Worry ifExperiences segment income falls year over year in Q4, or growth slows below 16%.
Less concerning ifExperiences segment income grows at least 16% year over year in Q4, without a large tariff refund.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$96 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $253 loss on $10,000 · 2.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,025 loss on $10,000 · 20.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.