Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
$147.65+7.71%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DKS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -2.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 12.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 15.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 11 industry peers
DKS — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-25
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION On August 25, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing its results for the second fiscal quarter ended August 1, 2026 and certain other information that is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K.
Why it matters: Foot Locker comps fell 3.6% in Q2, and its full-year sales outlook was cut. Another drop would show that footwear pressure remains.
Worry ifAt the November 24 earnings report, Foot Locker comparable sales fall more than 2% year over year.
Less concerning ifFoot Locker comparable sales reach 0% or higher year over year.
Why it matters: Foot Locker lost $31.9 million in Q2. A return to profit would show better results after its weak first half.
Supportive ifThe next report shows positive Foot Locker segment profit.
Worry ifThe next report shows another Foot Locker segment loss.
Why it matters: DICK'S comps grew 4.9% in Q2, even as the company faced more sales promotions. Results above 2.5% would support its sales outlook.
Supportive ifDICK'S Business comparable sales grow at least 2.5% year over year in the next report.
Worry ifDICK'S comparable sales fall below 2.5% year over year.
Why it matters: DICK'S agreed to sell $1 billion of notes in September. The final terms will show the rate the company pays on this new debt.
Worry ifA company filing shows the new notes carry an interest rate above 4%.
Less concerning ifA company filing shows the new notes carry an interest rate of 4% or less.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$202 on $10,000 · ±2.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $366 loss on $10,000 · 3.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,935 loss on $10,000 · 49.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.