Dolby (DLB)
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
$65.02+2.68%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DLB
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 11.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 5.5 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 36 industry peers
DLB — CEO transition
Dated 2026-08-27
CEO — Marc Whitten: The filing announces the appointment of an external candidate, Marc Whitten, as the new President and CEO, which is a significant leadership change but not a departure of a sitting executive.
Why it matters: Dolby's full-year target is about 88% on a GAAP basis. A lower result would miss that target and point to pressure.
Worry ifFY2026 GAAP gross margin is below 88%.
Less concerning ifFY2026 GAAP gross margin is 88% or higher.
Why it matters: Dolby guided to $362 million to $392 million in Q4 revenue. A miss would extend the recent revenue drop.
Worry ifThe Q4 FY2026 report shows revenue below $362 million.
Less concerning ifThe Q4 FY2026 report shows revenue at or above $362 million.
Why it matters: More TV brands shipping Dolby Vision 2 would show wider use of Dolby's new format. Delays would weaken that signal.
Supportive ifTCL and Philips ship TVs with Dolby Vision 2 by December 31, 2026.
Worry ifNeither TCL nor Philips ships a Dolby Vision 2 TV by December 31, 2026.
Why it matters: The new CEO named growth across Dolby's businesses as a focus. His first update can show whether plans become clear actions.
Watch forOn November 17, Dolby names clear steps for growth. It reports progress in at least one area from its August transition announcement.
Also watch forOn November 17, Dolby gives no clear growth steps. Or it reports setbacks in opportunities from its August announcement.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$121 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $257 loss on $10,000 · 2.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,979 loss on $10,000 · 29.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.