DLH Holdings Corp (DLHC)
NASDAQIndustrialsSpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$3.63-1.63%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsSpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DLHC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -75.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -33.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 41.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 13 industry peers
DLHC — CEO transition
Dated 2026-08-25
CEO — Zachary C. Parker: The CEO resigned from his executive position, representing a loss of the top executive, despite remaining on the board and providing consulting services.
Why it matters: Backlog fell from $514.3 million in September 2025 to $408.5 million in June 2026. Another drop would point to less work ahead.
Worry ifThe next reported backlog is below $408.5 million.
Less concerning ifThe next reported backlog is $408.5 million or higher.
Why it matters: DLH named fast debt reduction as a priority. Q3 debt was $128.7 million, down from $132.7 million in Q2.
Supportive ifA later filing shows debt below $128.7 million.
Worry ifA later filing shows debt at or above $128.7 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$156 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $444 loss on $10,000 · 4.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,734 loss on $10,000 · 47.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.