Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Dolphin Entertainment Inc (DLPN)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesAdvertising AgenciesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.90-3.74%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesAdvertising AgenciesSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
0.16 → 0.16 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 1 analyst
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 1 to 1; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for DLPN yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Expand EBITDA margin significantly in 2026 | A primary condition in Dolphin Entertainment Inc's published investment case. The stated target is significant expansion from current negative levels. | Improving | EBITDA margin fails to improve or worsens in FY26 | EBITDA margin: -3.44% FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: significant expansion from current negative levels. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 12, 2026-3.441742 percent · calculatedLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 11, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a high-risk turnaround-style business, not an established earnings compounder. The thesis is on watch: quality has improved, but financial performance remains below the industry cohort.
DLPN is described as cheap versus peers, while the valuation model has low confidence and a negative expectations gap. The priced-in assessment is marked justified, with low fragility, so the evidence does not point to a clearly strained expectations setup.
Near term, revenue has grown modestly and management says it expects sequential profitability improvement in Q3; the adjusted EBITDA loss improved year over year in Q1. Cash has declined, and the next results carry meaningful execution risk, especially if guidance is cut.
The multi-year thesis depends on continued revenue growth, narrower losses, and progress toward free cash flow without further cash erosion. Near-term results and guidance are key swing factors; lower rates or continued strength among sector bellwethers could help the sector backdrop, while weaker guidance would challenge the thesis.
Over a 1-to-3-year view, DLPN has signs of improving execution but remains loss-making, high-risk, and behind its industry cohort. The thesis hinges on sustained operating progress and better cash generation. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Stated in 2 of 2 supplied quarters. Management reported: “Bill O'Dowd, CEO of Dolphin, commented: “Total revenue for the second quarter grew 2.5% year-over-year to $14.4 million, and revenue for the first half of 2026 grew 3.8% to $27.2 million, continuing the top-line growth trend we saw in the first quarter.” “Bill O'Dowd, CEO of Dolphin, commented: “While the first quarter is historically our lightest due to normal business seasonality, we are pleased to report continued top-line growth, with total revenue increasing 5.2% year-over-year to $12.8 million.” Revenue was $14.443 million in 2026-Q2.
Delivery assessment Nov 4, 2026Generate positive free cash flow in 2026 | The company targets significant free cash flow generation. | Broken | free cash flow remains negative through FY26 | Cash from operations: $-162,413 FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >0 USD. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 12, 2026-162,413 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. Management contextStated in 2 of 2 supplied quarters. Management reported: “We continue to operate in highly attractive sectors, and with rising underlying profitability, modest capex requirements, and approximately $127 million in NOL carryforwards, we remain confident in our ability to generate meaningful free cash flow in the periods ahead.” “We continue to operate in highly attractive sectors, and with rising profitability, modest capex requirements, and $127 million in NOL carryforwards, we remain confident in our ability to generate meaningful free cash flow in the periods ahead.” Delivery assessment Nov 4, 2026 |
Sustain revenue growth near 13% in FY26 | A primary condition in Dolphin Entertainment Inc's published investment case. The stated target is >=12.7% YoY. | Broken | YoY revenue growth falls below 12.7% in FY26 | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. Management contextStated in 2 of 2 supplied quarters. Management reported: “Bill O'Dowd, CEO of Dolphin, commented: “Total revenue for the second quarter grew 2.5% year-over-year to $14.4 million, and revenue for the first half of 2026 grew 3.8% to $27.2 million, continuing the top-line growth trend we saw in the first quarter.” “Bill O'Dowd, CEO of Dolphin, commented: “While the first quarter is historically our lightest due to normal business seasonality, we are pleased to report continued top-line growth, with total revenue increasing 5.2% year-over-year to $12.8 million.” Revenue was $14.443 million in 2026-Q2. Delivery assessment Nov 4, 2026 |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$0.31 → $0.16 · observed estimates
$0.07B → $0.06B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $0.31 | $68,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-25 | $0.31 | $68,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-26 | $0.31 | $68,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-27 | $0.31 | $68,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-28 | $0.31 | $68,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-29 | $0.31 | $68,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-30 | $0.31 | $68,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-31 | $0.31 | $68,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-01 | $0.31 | $68,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | $0.31 | $68,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-03 | $0.31 | $68,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-04 | $0.31 | $68,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-05 | $0.31 | $68,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-06 | $0.31 | $68,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-07 | $0.31 | $68,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | $0.31 | $68,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-09 | $0.31 | $68,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-10 | $0.31 | $68,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-11 | $0.31 | $68,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-12 | $0.31 | $68,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-13 | $0.31 | $68,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-14 | $0.31 | $68,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | $0.31 | $68,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-16 | $0.31 | $68,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-17 | $0.31 | $68,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-18 | $0.31 | $68,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-19 | $0.31 | $68,500,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-20 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-21 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-24 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-25 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-26 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-27 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-31 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-01 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-02 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-10 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-01 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-02 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-03 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-05 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-06 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-07 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-12 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-13 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-14 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-16 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-17 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-19 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-21 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-03 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | $0.16 | $61,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 1 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.