Dolphin Entertainment Inc (DLPN)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesAdvertising AgenciesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.90-3.74%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesAdvertising AgenciesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DLPN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -79.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 84.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 2 industry peers
DLPN — earnings miss
Dated 2026-05-12
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 12, 2026, Dolphin Entertainment, Inc., a Florida corporation (the “ Company ”), issued a press release announcing its financial results for the three months ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the Company’s earnings press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and incorporated herein by reference. The information contained in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” f…
Why it matters: Management aims to generate free cash flow, but cash fell from year-end 2025. A rise would show cash is building.
Supportive ifQuarter-end cash and cash equivalents exceed $7.7 million, the June 30, 2026 level.
Worry ifQuarter-end cash and cash equivalents fall below $7.7 million.
Why it matters: Revenue rose 3.8% in the first half. Another year-over-year gain would back management's growth goal.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue is above its year-ago level.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is flat or lower year over year.
Why it matters: The first deal would show progress in a new venture. A delay would leave its business value untested.
Supportive ifDolphin says investors can access its first DealMaker deal before year-end 2026.
Worry ifNo first DealMaker deal is announced by year-end 2026, or Dolphin says the launch is delayed.
Why it matters: Management said Q3 profit would improve as two cost pressures ease. A higher result would support that claim.
Supportive ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA is above $243,000, the Q2 2026 result.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA is $243,000 or lower.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$269 on $10,000 · ±2.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $513 loss on $10,000 · 5.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,986 loss on $10,000 · 49.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The sector signal warns that revenue growth below its median may mark a change. Dolphin's latest revenue still grew year over year.
Watch forQ3 revenue grows year over year and does not fall below the prior-year level.
Also watch forQ3 revenue falls year over year.