Dolphin Entertainment Inc (DLPN)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesAdvertising AgenciesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$1.18+0.85%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesAdvertising AgenciesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DLPN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -77.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 4.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 82.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and its industry peers have been missing lately. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 13 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
DLPN — earnings miss
Dated 2026-05-12
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 12, 2026, Dolphin Entertainment, Inc., a Florida corporation (the “ Company ”), issued a press release announcing its financial results for the three months ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the Company’s earnings press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and incorporated herein by reference. The information contained in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” f…
Why it matters: A smaller adjusted EBITDA loss means Dolphin is getting closer to making money. This could help investor confidence.
Supportive ifQ2 adjusted EBITDA loss improves by more than 25% compared to Q1.
Worry ifQ2 adjusted EBITDA loss gets worse or does not improve much.
Why it matters: Another earnings miss would show ongoing financial problems. This could hurt investor confidence.
Worry ifQ2 earnings report on August 12, 2026, shows a loss greater than analysts' expectations.
Less concerning ifQ2 earnings report shows a profit or meets analysts' expectations.
Why it matters: If Dolphin's RFP status improves, it may indicate a competitive edge. This could lead to better project wins.
Supportive ifDolphin's RFP status improves to strong or neutral.
Worry ifDolphin's RFP status remains weak or declines further.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow shows better financial health. It also means the company is working efficiently.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations turns positive in Q3.
Worry ifCash flow from operations remains negative in Q3.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$202 on $10,000 · ±2.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $524 loss on $10,000 · 5.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,396 loss on $10,000 · 44.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Better adjusted EBITDA means the company is managing costs well. It shows they are working efficiently.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA shows improvement from Q2's $243,000 loss.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA is still going down or is negative in Q3.
Why it matters: New partnerships could drive revenue growth and enhance Dolphin's market position.
Supportive ifA new partnership was announced. This fits with Dolphin's growth plan.
Worry ifNo new partnerships were announced. This shows a slowdown in growth efforts.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth in Q2 would signal a turnaround after a decline in Q1.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth above 0% year over year.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth remains negative year over year.
Why it matters: An earnings miss would confirm ongoing struggles, while a beat could signal recovery. This impacts investor confidence.
Watch forQ2 earnings were better than expected.
Also watch forQ2 earnings were worse than expected.
Why it matters: Better EBITDA margins show that costs are managed well. This means operations are more efficient.
Supportive ifEBITDA margin is above the last quarter's level of -X%.
Worry ifEBITDA margin is still below the last quarter's level. This shows ongoing challenges.
Why it matters: If revenue grows in Q3, it shows management is confident about making more money.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth is more than 3.8% compared to last year. This shows a good trend.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth is less than 3.8% compared to last year. This shows ongoing problems.
Why it matters: Positive free cash flow would indicate Dolphin is managing its cash better. This is important for future investments and stability.
Supportive ifQ2 shows positive free cash flow. This means good cash management.
Worry ifQ2 shows negative free cash flow again. This shows ongoing cash management problems.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show important details about financial health and future plans.
Watch forEarnings report shows a positive surprise in revenue or EBITDA.
Also watch forEarnings report shows a negative surprise in revenue or EBITDA.
Why it matters: If growth exceeds 3.0%, it shows strong sales and supports management's growth story.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth exceeds 3.0% year over year.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth falls below 2.5% year over year.
Why it matters: Stable cash levels would show better liquidity and help management's cash flow goals.
Supportive ifCash and cash equivalents stay above $7.5 million.
Worry ifCash and cash equivalents fall below $7.0 million.
Why it matters: A deal announcement would confirm the partnership and could increase revenue.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of the first deal from the DealMaker partnership.
Worry ifNo news or updates on the DealMaker partnership by year-end.