Digimarc Corp. (DMRC)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
$8.72+1.87%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DMRC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
A comparable price-assumption read is not available for this company.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 36 industry peers
DMRC — debt issuance
Dated 2026-09-30
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement On September 29, 2026, Digimarc Corporation (the "Company") entered into purchase agreements with investors (collectively, the "Purchase Agreements") providing for the issuance and sale by the Company of 4,500,000 common shares, in the aggregate (the "Shares"), in a registered direct offering (the "Offering"). The Shares were offered at a price of $4.04 per Share, and the gross proceeds to the Company from the Offering are expected to be approximatel…
Why it matters: Q2 revenue fell to $7.4 million from $8.0 million. Growth would show new contracts are offsetting lost work.
Supportive ifOn the November 12, 2026 earnings call, Q3 revenue is above the year-ago quarter's $8.0 million.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is $8.0 million or less, or management reports more contract losses.
Why it matters: The CEO said early pipeline signs are showing in Retail and CPG. Signed work would show that focus is gaining traction.
Supportive ifThe company names a new Retail or CPG contract, or reports added revenue or ARR from those customers.
Worry ifThe company reports no new Retail or CPG contracts and total revenue stays below $8.0 million.
Why it matters: Ending ARR fell to $11.6 million as contracts ended or stepped down. New gains must replace that lost recurring revenue.
Watch forReported ARR rises above $11.6 million. New and current contracts add more than lost contracts take away.
Also watch forReported ARR falls below $11.6 million, or another major contract ends or steps down.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$278 on $10,000 · ±2.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $839 loss on $10,000 · 8.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,018 loss on $10,000 · 70.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.