Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
DiamondRock Hospitality Company (DRH)
NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-11-04
$13.98-4.44%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
0.67 → 0.66 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 3 analysts
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 3 to 3; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for DRH yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
4 published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maintain or grow dividend per share | The dividend per share rose to $0.09 recently. | Intact | dividend per share falls below $0.08 annualized | Dividend per share: $0.11 per share FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: >= $0.36 annualized dividend. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Nov 3, 20260.11 USD/share · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. Management contextStated in 2 of 4 supplied quarters. Management reported: “Given the strength of our second quarter results and our confidence in the outlook for the remainder of the year, we are increasing our quarterly common dividend by more than 20% and raising our full-year guidance.” ““Our mission is to create outstanding long-term value for our shareholders, rewarding careers for our team members, positive experiences for our guests, and a sustainable contribution to our community.”” |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
DRH is a hospitality real estate investment with a cash-generation and operating-execution thesis. Management priorities appear on track, but the current thesis is on watch because recent financial performance is below its industry cohort.
The valuation evidence describes DRH as cheap versus peers, with a small expectations gap and low fragility. This suggests limited evidence that the market is pricing in unusually high expectations, though the overall value assessment is neutral.
Over the past year, net income attributable to common stockholders and adjusted funds from operations per share improved, while management has raised guidance and increased the dividend. Near term, the miss risk is described as low, but recent performance remains below the industry cohort and the signal has softened from favorable to mildly favorable.
The multi-year view depends on continued delivery on operating efficiency and capital allocation, including the recently announced acquisition and early share repurchases. A reversal and guidance cut would damage management credibility, while Fed rate cuts could support the sector; weakness among hotel real estate peers could remove that tailwind.
DRH has improving financial results and management execution to support its long-term thesis, but its relative performance and recent signal call for continued attention. The main swing factors are guidance credibility, interest rates, and the health of the broader real estate sector. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
EPS near $1.14 in FY26 | The dividend per share rose to $0.09 recently. | Improving | EPS falls below $1.0 per share in FY26 | Diluted EPS: $0.16 per share FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: >= $1.14 per share. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Nov 3, 20260.16 USD/share · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stabilize or improve operating income | A supporting condition in DiamondRock Hospitality Company's published investment case. The stated target is >= $20 million quarterly operating income. | Improving | operating income falls below $15 million quarterly | Operating income: $28.621M FY2026-Q1; GAAP. Published target: >= $20 million quarterly operating income. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Apr 30, 202628,621,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Revenue near $1.14 billion in FY26 | Revenue is expected near $1.14 billion in 2026. | Intact | revenue falls below $1.0 billion in FY26 | Revenue: $297.605M FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: >= $1.14 billion. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Nov 3, 2026297,605,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$0.57 → $0.66 · observed estimates
$1.16B → $1.18B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $0.57 | $1,162,991,954 | 4 / 8 |
| 2026-07-25 | $0.57 | $1,162,991,950 | 5 / 11 |
| 2026-07-26 | $0.57 | $1,162,991,954 | 4 / 8 |
| 2026-07-27 | $0.57 | $1,162,991,950 | 5 / 11 |
| 2026-07-28 | $0.57 | $1,162,991,950 | 5 / 11 |
| 2026-07-29 | $0.57 | $1,163,640,320 | 5 / 11 |
| 2026-07-30 | $0.57 | $1,163,640,320 | 5 / 11 |
| 2026-07-31 | $0.58 | $1,163,856,645 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-01 | $0.58 | $1,163,856,645 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-02 | $0.56 | $1,163,856,640 | 2 / 11 |
| 2026-08-03 | $0.56 | $1,163,856,640 | 2 / 11 |
| 2026-08-04 | $0.58 | $1,163,856,645 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-05 | $0.59 | $1,163,768,560 | 2 / 11 |
| 2026-08-06 | $0.59 | $1,163,768,560 | 2 / 11 |
| 2026-08-07 | $0.58 | $1,163,856,645 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-08 | $0.58 | $1,163,856,645 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-09 | $0.59 | $1,163,768,560 | 2 / 11 |
| 2026-08-10 | $0.59 | $1,163,768,560 | 2 / 11 |
| 2026-08-11 | $0.59 | $1,163,768,560 | 2 / 11 |
| 2026-08-12 | $0.58 | $1,163,856,645 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-13 | $0.59 | $1,163,768,560 | 2 / 11 |
| 2026-08-14 | $0.58 | $1,163,856,645 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-15 | $0.58 | $1,163,856,645 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-16 | $0.58 | $1,163,856,645 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-17 | $0.58 | $1,163,856,645 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-18 | $0.58 | $1,163,856,645 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-19 | $0.58 | $1,163,856,645 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-20 | $0.65 | $1,167,006,230 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-21 | $0.65 | $1,167,006,230 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-22 | $0.65 | $1,167,006,230 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-23 | $0.65 | $1,167,709,502 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-24 | $0.65 | $1,167,709,502 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-25 | $0.65 | $1,167,709,502 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-26 | $0.65 | $1,167,709,502 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-27 | $0.65 | $1,167,709,502 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-28 | $0.65 | $1,167,709,502 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-29 | $0.65 | $1,167,709,502 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-30 | $0.65 | $1,169,840,853 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-31 | $0.65 | $1,169,840,853 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-01 | $0.65 | $1,169,840,853 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-02 | $0.65 | $1,169,840,853 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-03 | $0.65 | $1,169,840,853 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-04 | $0.65 | $1,169,840,853 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-05 | $0.65 | $1,169,840,853 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-06 | $0.65 | $1,169,840,853 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-07 | $0.65 | $1,169,840,853 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-08 | $0.65 | $1,169,840,853 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-09 | $0.65 | $1,169,840,853 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-10 | $0.65 | $1,169,840,853 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-11 | $0.65 | $1,171,306,230 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-12 | $0.65 | $1,171,306,230 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-13 | $0.65 | $1,171,306,230 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-14 | $0.65 | $1,171,306,230 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-15 | $0.65 | $1,171,306,230 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-16 | $0.65 | $1,171,306,230 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-17 | $0.64 | $1,170,817,411 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-18 | $0.64 | $1,170,817,411 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-19 | $0.64 | $1,170,817,411 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-20 | $0.67 | $1,171,371,053 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-21 | $0.67 | $1,171,371,053 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-22 | $0.67 | $1,171,371,053 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-23 | $0.67 | $1,171,371,053 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-24 | $0.67 | $1,171,371,053 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-25 | $0.67 | $1,171,371,053 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-26 | $0.67 | $1,171,371,053 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-27 | $0.67 | $1,171,371,053 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-28 | $0.67 | $1,171,371,053 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-29 | $0.67 | $1,171,371,053 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-09-30 | $0.67 | $1,171,371,053 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-01 | $0.67 | $1,171,371,053 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-02 | $0.67 | $1,171,371,053 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-03 | $0.67 | $1,171,371,053 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-04 | $0.67 | $1,171,371,053 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-05 | $0.67 | $1,171,371,053 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-06 | $0.67 | $1,171,371,053 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-07 | $0.67 | $1,171,371,053 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-08 | $0.67 | $1,171,371,053 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-09 | $0.67 | $1,171,918,853 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-10 | $0.67 | $1,171,918,853 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-11 | $0.66 | $1,170,920,957 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-12 | $0.66 | $1,170,920,957 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-13 | $0.66 | $1,170,920,957 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-14 | $0.66 | $1,170,920,957 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-15 | $0.66 | $1,170,920,957 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-16 | $0.66 | $1,170,920,957 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-17 | $0.66 | $1,170,920,957 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-18 | $0.66 | $1,170,920,957 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-19 | $0.66 | $1,170,920,957 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-20 | $0.66 | $1,170,920,957 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-21 | $0.66 | $1,172,159,230 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-22 | $0.66 | $1,172,159,230 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-23 | $0.66 | $1,173,187,430 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-24 | $0.66 | $1,174,625,521 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-25 | $0.66 | $1,174,625,521 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-26 | $0.66 | $1,174,625,521 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-27 | $0.66 | $1,174,625,521 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-28 | $0.66 | $1,177,765,512 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-29 | $0.66 | $1,179,111,718 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-30 | $0.66 | $1,179,111,718 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-10-31 | $0.66 | $1,179,111,718 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-11-01 | $0.66 | $1,179,111,718 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-11-02 | $0.66 | $1,179,111,718 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-11-03 | $0.66 | $1,179,111,718 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-11-04 | $0.66 | $1,179,669,354 | 3 / 8 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 7 Buy / Strong Buy · 7 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 2 recorded
1 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
4 of 4 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.