DiamondRock Hospitality Company (DRH)
NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-09-04
$12.08+0.17%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - Hotel & MotelSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DRH
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -10.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 12.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 12 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
DRH — Chair transition
Dated 2026-02-25
Chairman of the Board of Directors — William W. McCarten: Mr. McCarten is retiring from the Board and will be succeeded by Bruce D. Wardinski.
Why it matters: Higher operating income shows better cost control. It also means more efficiency.
Supportive ifOperating income is over $15M in Q2. This shows good cost control.
Worry ifOperating income is under $15M in Q2. This shows ongoing cost issues.
Why it matters: Revenue growth is a key priority. Results will show if the company is improving.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth exceeds 5% year over year.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth is below 2% year over year.
Why it matters: Finishing the sale shows good use of capital and helps cash flow grow.
Supportive ifThe hotel under contract is sold by the end of Q2 2026.
Worry ifThe sale is delayed beyond Q2 2026 or falls through.
Why it matters: Aggressive share repurchases can signal management's confidence in the stock. It can also improve earnings per share.
Supportive ifThe company repurchases more than $50 million worth of shares under the new program.
Worry ifShare repurchases remain below $50 million in the next quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$102 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $231 loss on $10,000 · 2.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,171 loss on $10,000 · 11.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: More buybacks may show management's trust in the stock's value.
Supportive ifThe Company bought back shares worth more than $50 million in 2026.
Worry ifThe Company bought back shares worth less than $20 million in 2026.
Why it matters: The Westin Boston Seaport District deal may improve revenue and growth.
Supportive ifRevenue from the Westin Boston Seaport District goes up after the new franchise starts.
Worry ifRevenue from the Westin Boston Seaport District goes down or stays the same after the deal.
Why it matters: Keeping or raising dividends shows strong finances. It also shows support for shareholders.
Supportive ifThe Company declares a dividend of $0.11 per share for Q4 2026.
Worry ifThe Company declares a dividend lower than $0.11 per share for Q4 2026.
Why it matters: Better performance in the sector may lead to more demand for hospitality.
Supportive ifSector performance improves to better than -6% over the next 20 days.
Worry ifSector performance gets worse, staying below -6% for the next 20 days.
Why it matters: Higher spending may show growth plans. It could also mean financial trouble if revenue does not match.
Watch forCapital spending is over $85 million for 2026.
Also watch forCapital spending is under $75 million for 2026.
Why it matters: Closing this sale would show the company's plan to recycle capital. It will affect cash flow.
Supportive ifThe company closes the sale of the hotel that is under contract.
Worry ifThe sale does not close as expected or is delayed.
Why it matters: The sale will affect cash flow and plans for spending. It shows management's plan to improve the portfolio.
Supportive ifThe hotel sale closes successfully. It brings in more than $30 million.
Worry ifThe hotel sale does not close or is delayed beyond Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Earnings reports give key updates on revenue and costs. They also show any changes in guidance.
Watch forThe earnings report shows that revenue is growing. It also shows positive Adjusted EBITDA.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows that revenue is falling. It also shows negative Adjusted EBITDA.
Why it matters: Steady dividends show financial strength. They also show a commitment to giving value to shareholders.
Supportive ifThe company declares a dividend of $0.09 per share for Q3 2026.
Worry ifThe company does not declare a dividend for Q3 2026.
Why it matters: The sale will affect cash flow and how money is spent. It shows how management is managing assets.
Supportive ifThe hotel sale closes well. The funds go into high-return investments.
Worry ifThe sale does not close as planned, delaying capital recycling efforts.
Why it matters: Higher occupancy rates show more demand. This can lead to better revenue growth.
Supportive ifOccupancy rates rise above 67% for Q2 2026.
Worry ifOccupancy rates fall below 66% for Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Keeping or raising the dividend shows a focus on returns for shareholders.
Supportive ifDividend per share remains at $0.09 or increases in Q2.
Worry ifDividend per share drops below $0.09 in Q2, raising concerns about financial health.
Why it matters: A lower result means challenges in keeping profits and cash flow growing.
Worry ifQ3 Adjusted FFO per share reported below $1.18.
Less concerning ifQ3 Adjusted FFO per share reported above $1.23.
Why it matters: The sale will affect cash flow and how money is spent. It shows management's plan to improve the portfolio.
Supportive ifThe hotel sale is successful. This shows management's plan to use capital again.
Worry ifThe sale does not close as planned. This shows possible problems with managing assets.
Why it matters: This growth rate is a key indicator of hotel performance. A drop below this level may signal weakening demand.
Worry ifQ3 Comparable RevPAR growth was below 2.5%.
Less concerning ifQ3 Comparable RevPAR growth was above 2.5%.
Why it matters: An increase shows good cash flow management. It also shows a commitment to shareholders.
Supportive ifThe Board declares a quarterly dividend greater than $0.11 per share.
Worry ifThe Board maintains or decreases the quarterly dividend at $0.11 or lower.
Why it matters: Finishing the project may improve hotel quality. It can also boost future revenue.
Supportive ifRenovations at Westin San Diego Bayview are done. They finished on time.
Worry ifRenovations at Westin San Diego Bayview were late. Some work is not done.
Why it matters: More repurchases show confidence in the company's value. They also show a commitment to returning capital.
Supportive ifShare repurchases in Q3 exceed $10 million.
Worry ifShare repurchases in Q3 are less than $10 million.