Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
0.31 → 0.31 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 4 analysts
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 4 to 4; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for DSP yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Successful integration of TVision Insights acquisition | The recent acquisition of TVision Insights may help growth. | Intact | Acquisition fails to integrate or harms growth | Qualitative condition This condition has no defined numerical measure. Nov 4, 2026Last status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 9, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
DSP is a growth-focused, loss-making business rather than an established durable compounder. Its 1 to 3 year thesis is in a watch state: recent execution is encouraging, but performance remains below its industry cohort.
The valuation model describes DSP as cheap versus peers, while the overall value assessment is expensive, so the relative valuation picture is mixed. The priced-in tag is justified, with low fragility, but the negative expectations gap suggests the market may be assuming more than the current results support.
Near-term results show momentum: second-quarter revenue rose 34% year over year and adjusted EBITDA rose 26%, while CTV spend grew nearly 50%. Management says growth, margin expansion, TVision integration, and Direct Access transactions are on track, though DSP remains loss-making and smaller-cap, with elevated risk and recent performance below peers.
The next guidance update is a key near-term swing factor; a cut could weigh on the business outlook, while steady guidance would support the execution case. Over the multi-year view, progress depends on sustaining CTV advertiser growth and using TVision’s attention data to strengthen the platform. Fed rate cuts and stabilization among major technology peers could also ease sector pressure, but their timing is uncertain.
DSP has credible growth and integration progress, but the long-term thesis remains watchful because losses, relative underperformance, and an expensive overall value assessment leave little room for execution to falter. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| Profit should improve with adjusted EBITDA near $13.5 million. |
| Intact |
| Adjusted EBITDA falls below $13.0 million in Q2 2026 |
Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Revenue near $100 million in Q2 2026 | Profit should improve with adjusted EBITDA near $13.5 million. | Intact | Revenue falls below $98.5 million in Q2 2026 | Revenue: $104.254M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: ~$100 million. The target does not explicitly identify fiscal versus calendar quarters. Aug 10, 2026104,254,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$0.46 → $0.31 · observed estimates
$0.31B → $0.31B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $0.46 | $309,716,000 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-07-25 | $0.46 | $309,716,000 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-07-26 | $0.46 | $309,716,000 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-07-27 | $0.46 | $309,716,000 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-07-28 | $0.80 | $524,833,130 | 5 / 10 |
| 2026-07-29 | $0.80 | $524,833,130 | 5 / 10 |
| 2026-07-30 | $0.80 | $524,833,130 | 5 / 10 |
| 2026-07-31 | $0.80 | $524,833,130 | 5 / 10 |
| 2026-08-01 | $0.46 | $309,716,000 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-08-02 | $0.80 | $524,833,130 | 5 / 10 |
| 2026-08-03 | $0.46 | $309,716,000 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-08-04 | $0.80 | $524,833,130 | 5 / 10 |
| 2026-08-05 | $0.46 | $309,716,000 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-08-06 | $0.46 | $309,716,000 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-08-07 | $0.46 | $309,716,000 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-08-08 | $0.80 | $524,833,130 | 5 / 10 |
| 2026-08-09 | $0.80 | $524,833,130 | 5 / 10 |
| 2026-08-10 | $0.46 | $309,716,000 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-08-11 | $0.80 | $524,833,130 | 5 / 10 |
| 2026-08-12 | $0.95 | $532,062,520 | 4 / 10 |
| 2026-08-13 | $0.46 | $309,716,000 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-08-14 | $0.46 | $309,716,000 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-08-15 | $0.46 | $309,716,000 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-08-16 | $0.46 | $309,716,000 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-08-17 | $0.46 | $309,716,000 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-08-18 | $0.46 | $309,716,000 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-08-19 | $0.46 | $309,716,000 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-08-20 | $0.31 | $310,347,556 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-08-21 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-08-22 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-08-23 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-08-24 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-08-25 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-08-26 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-08-27 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-08-28 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-08-29 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-08-30 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-08-31 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-01 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-02 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-03 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-04 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-05 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-06 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-07 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-08 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-09 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-10 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-11 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-12 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-13 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-14 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-15 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-16 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-17 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-18 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-19 | $0.31 | $309,386,437 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-20 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-21 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-22 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-23 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-24 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-25 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-26 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-27 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-28 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-29 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-09-30 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-01 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-02 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-03 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-04 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-05 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-06 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-07 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-08 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-09 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-10 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-11 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-12 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-13 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-14 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-15 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-16 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-17 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-18 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-19 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-20 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-21 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-22 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-23 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-24 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-25 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-26 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-27 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-28 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-29 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-30 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-10-31 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-11-01 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-11-02 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-11-03 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
| 2026-11-04 | $0.31 | $309,665,722 | 4 / 7 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 11 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.