Viant Technology, Inc. (DSP)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$13.66+1.56%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DSP
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -16.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -15.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 0.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 119 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
DSP — director transition
Dated 2026-08-10
Director — Craig Abrahams: The filing discloses the election of a new non-employee director and their compensation, which is a routine governance event rather than a change in executive management.
Why it matters: Closing the TVision deal will boost Viant's advertising skills. It will improve its market position.
Supportive ifAcquisition of TVision closes as planned in Q2 2026.
Worry ifAcquisition of TVision is delayed or falls through.
Why it matters: Sustained high growth in CTV spend indicates strong demand for Viant's platform.
Supportive ifCTV advertiser spending grew more than 40% compared to last year.
Worry ifCTV advertiser spending grew less than 40% compared to last year.
Why it matters: Meeting this guidance shows strong efficiency. It also shows the ability to make money.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA is at least $18.5 million.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA is less than $18.5 million.
Why it matters: Integrating TVision can improve Viant's advertising skills. It can also boost their market position.
Supportive ifThey shared news about successful steps to integrate. They also mentioned new products using TVision data.
Worry ifNo updates or delays in adding TVision's features to Viant's platform.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$251 on $10,000 · ±2.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $576 loss on $10,000 · 5.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,096 loss on $10,000 · 31.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if Viant can improve its loss-making status. This is key for investor confidence.
Watch forThe earnings report shows a way to make more money or lose less.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows ongoing losses. There is no clear plan to recover.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth signals a potential slowdown in the sector. This could hurt Viant's performance.
Worry ifRevenue growth falls below the median for the sector.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth remains above the median for the sector.
Why it matters: This acquisition could help growth and market position. Confirmation would show strategic progress.
Supportive ifThey announced that the acquisition is complete.
Worry ifNo update or news on the acquisition for several months.
Why it matters: Meeting or exceeding this guidance shows continued strong growth momentum for Viant.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported at or above $107.5 million.
Worry ifQ3 revenue reported below $107.5 million.
Why it matters: Keeping costs low is important as revenue increases. This shows management's control.
Worry ifNon-GAAP operating costs are at or below $46.5M.
Less concerning ifNon-GAAP operating costs are over $47.5M.
Why it matters: Successful integration of TVision can enhance Viant's platform and attract more advertisers. This is key for future growth.
Supportive ifManagement says TVision's integration is on track. This is bringing in more advertisers.
Worry ifThere are delays or problems with integration. This is causing less advertiser interest.