DTE Energy (DTE)
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-09-04
$136.08-0.72%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DTE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -2.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 55.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 57.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 31 industry peers
DTE — director transition
Dated 2026-09-04
Director — David A. Thomas: The filing discloses the planned retirement of a long-serving director after 13 years, which is an orderly succession event rather than a sudden executive departure.
Why it matters: The Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) will outline DTE's long-term energy strategy. It is crucial for future growth.
Watch forThe IRP filing shows plans for new power and storage projects.
Also watch forIRP filing lacks clarity on future generation and storage plans.
Why it matters: Confirming the EPS guidance of $7.59 - $7.73 shows strong financial health. It reflects growth expectations supported by RNG tax credits.
Supportive ifManagement confirms achieving the high end of the EPS guidance range during the next earnings call.
Worry ifManagement lowers EPS guidance to below $7.59 for the next earnings call.
Why it matters: If utility sector revenue growth speeds up, it could support DTE Energy's performance. This may improve investor outlook.
Watch forSector revenue growth is speeding up again to about 7% year-over-year.
Also watch forSector revenue growth is still under 5% year-over-year.
Why it matters: The IRP filing will explain DTE's long-term energy plan. It is key for future investments and approvals.
Watch forDTE files the IRP as scheduled in Q3 2026.
Also watch forDTE delays the IRP filing beyond Q3 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$89 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $177 loss on $10,000 · 1.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,228 loss on $10,000 · 12.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Sector growth trends impact DTE Energy's performance. Slowing growth could hurt DTE's earnings.
Worry ifRevenue growth in the utility sector is speeding up again. It is getting close to past highs.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth in the utility sector is slowing down. It continues to decelerate.
Why it matters: Better reliability can make customers happier and cut down outages. This helps DTE's image.
Supportive ifOutage duration is 30% better than in Q1.
Worry ifOutage duration worsens or does not improve compared to Q1.
Why it matters: This project could provide $1.7 billion in benefits for existing customers. It shows DTE's ability to manage costs and support growth.
Supportive ifConstruction on the Google data center is underway and contracts are approved by the MPSC.
Worry ifThere are delays in construction or approvals for the Google data center project.
Why it matters: EPS growth shows the business is strong. This can help how the market sees it.
Supportive ifDTE Energy reports year-over-year EPS growth of at least 5%.
Worry ifDTE Energy has EPS growth of less than 5% compared to last year.
Why it matters: These projects are important for growth. They can help customers save money.
Supportive ifOracle's 1.4 GW data center and Google's 1 GW data center are on schedule.
Worry ifThere are delays or problems with building or approving either data center project.
Why it matters: Confirming the EPS guidance shows DTE's ability to manage costs and investments. It reflects financial health.
Supportive ifDTE confirms 2026 operating EPS guidance of $7.59 to $7.73 in the next earnings report.
Worry ifDTE revises down the EPS guidance below $7.59 in the next earnings report.
Why it matters: If DTE does well on the Google data center contract, it will make more money. This will help customers afford their services.
Supportive ifDTE gets approval for the Google data center contracts by the end of Q3 2026.
Worry ifDTE does not get approval for the Google data center contracts. This happens after Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Progress on battery storage helps DTE reach clean energy goals. It also makes the grid more reliable.
Watch forDTE says it has completed the first phases of the $1.6 billion battery project.
Also watch forDTE delays or cancels any phases of the battery storage project.