
DTE
DTE EnergyNYSEUtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, DTE has a composite score of 11.8 and a signal label of "mild favorable." The valuation label changed from "full" to "fair," indicating a shift in perception. The top drivers influencing this score include macroeconomic factors such as rates, labor, inflation, and growth. The analysis is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)0.04
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Joint read: strong + robust historically delivered 80%+ NI-grew rate over T+1y in IT 2024–26 (small N).
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $1.51 → $1.51 (+0.1% / 30d). 4 raised, 4 cut, 11 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 2 maintained. 61% of analysts rate Buy.
5 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 8.3% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
No recent events recorded.
Stated priorities
2 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Achieve high end of EPS guidance rangegrowthbehind0% progress
4/30: “DTE Energy confirms 2026 operating EPS guidance of $7.59 - $7.73.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. DTE Energy's 2026 EPS guidance range is $7.59 - $7.73, aiming for the high end. However, financials show net income of $633M in 2025-Q4, down from $477M in 2024-Q3, indicating limited progress towards achieving the high end of the guidance range.
- 2.Maintain EPS growthgrowthmixed63% progress
2/17: “2026 operating EPS guidance provides 6% - 8% growth over 2025 guidance midpoint.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. DTE Energy's 2026 EPS guidance suggests 6% - 8% growth over 2025's $7.09 - $7.23 range. However, net income decreased from $477M in 2024-Q3 to $229M in 2025-Q3, indicating challenges in maintaining EPS growth trajectory.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 20%; 252d 16%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −10%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLU) — 0.04 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 73/100, drawdown 80/100, beta 5/100, earnings vol —.
via XLU
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- label change · valuation_labelseverity 20
Valuation label changed from 'full' to 'fair'.
As of 2026-05-08, the valuation label for DTE changed from 'full' to 'fair'. The forward view indicates an unfavorable direction for the composite delta estimates related to a guidance cut and a rates reversal, while there are favorable scenarios if the utilities sector trend improves or if next-quarter guidance is raised. The overall confidence label remains medium, and the signal is classified as mild favorable. The status is provisional.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Achieve high end of EPS guidance range
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04DTE Energy aims to achieve the high end of its EPS guidance range for 2026.
BehindStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. DTE Energy's 2026 EPS guidance range is $7.59 - $7.73, aiming for the high end. However, financials show net income of $633M in 2025-Q4, down from $477M in 2024-Q3, indicating limited progress towards achieving the high end of the guidance range.
0%CEO/CFO:“DTE Energy confirms 2026 operating EPS guidance of $7.59 - $7.73.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-30Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (3)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“DTE Energy confirms 2026 operating EPS guidance of $7.59 - $7.73.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“2026 operating EPS guidance provides 6% - 8% growth over 2025 guidance midpoint.”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“DTE Energy also provided a 2026 operating EPS early outlook guidance range of $7.59 - $7.73.”
- #2
Maintain EPS growth
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04DTE Energy is focused on maintaining EPS growth through 2026.
Behind →MixedStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. DTE Energy's 2026 EPS guidance suggests 6% - 8% growth over 2025's $7.09 - $7.23 range. However, net income decreased from $477M in 2024-Q3 to $229M in 2025-Q3, indicating challenges in maintaining EPS growth trajectory.
63%CEO/CFO:“2026 operating EPS guidance provides 6% - 8% growth over 2025 guidance midpoint.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-17Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (3)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“2026 operating EPS guidance provides 6% - 8% growth over 2025 guidance midpoint.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“DTE Energy confirms 2025 operating EPS guidance of $7.09 - $7.23.”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“DTE Energy confirms 2025 operating EPS guidance of $7.09 - $7.23.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
DTE DTE Energy | +12 | fair | moderate |
NEE NextEra Energy | +19 | full | moderate |
CEG Constellation Energy | +16 | full | elevated |
SO Southern Company | +19 | fair | moderate |
DUK Duke Energy | +28 | inexpensive | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If utilities sector trend rises from -0.04 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-30)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-30)-8.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
- If utilities sector trend falls from -0.04 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-018d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. DTE Energy Company (“DTE Energy”) is furnishing the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) the financial statements for its indirect wholly-owned subsidiary, DTE Gas Company, for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. The financial statements were posted to DTE Energy's website at www.dteenergy.com on May 1, 2026. The financial statements are furnished as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference. In accordance with General Instruction B.2…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 55 - 2026-04-309d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. DTE Energy Company (DTE Energy) is furnishing the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) with its earnings release issued April 30, 2026, announcing financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the earnings release and the slide presentation, including supplemental financial information, are furnished as Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2 and incorporated herein by reference.
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 54
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.