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DTE

DTE Energy

NYSEUtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-05-08

$140.60-0.99%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, DTE has a composite score of 11.8 and a signal label of "mild favorable." The valuation label changed from "full" to "fair," indicating a shift in perception. The top drivers influencing this score include macroeconomic factors such as rates, labor, inflation, and growth. The analysis is provisional.

Composite +12as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
strong
Top 30% of utilities cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    1.00
  • Slope (norm)
    0.04
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
517427619528
F2 · Value
neutral
Mid-cohort by earnings yield
Why this rank
Price
$140.60
TTM EPS
$6.92
Earnings yield
4.9%
P/E (TTM)
20.3

Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3

F3 · Earnings quality
robust
Top 30% cash conversion in utilities cohort
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
1,404
TTM CFO ($M)
3,643
CFO/NI
2.59

Joint read: strong + robust historically delivered 80%+ NI-grew rate over T+1y in IT 2024–26 (small N).

L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
Insufficient data
No score yet
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
neutral5 PT revisions / 30d, avg 8.3% above currentfor period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $1.51 → $1.51 (+0.1% / 30d). 4 raised, 4 cut, 11 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 2 maintained. 61% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

5 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 8.3% above current price.

Material events

0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
1

Recent 8-K events

No recent events recorded.

2

Stated priorities

2 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).

  1. 1.Achieve high end of EPS guidance rangegrowthbehind0% progress
    4/30: DTE Energy confirms 2026 operating EPS guidance of $7.59 - $7.73.
    Why this status

    Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. DTE Energy's 2026 EPS guidance range is $7.59 - $7.73, aiming for the high end. However, financials show net income of $633M in 2025-Q4, down from $477M in 2024-Q3, indicating limited progress towards achieving the high end of the guidance range.

  2. 2.Maintain EPS growthgrowthmixed63% progress
    2/17: 2026 operating EPS guidance provides 6% - 8% growth over 2025 guidance midpoint.
    Why this status

    Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. DTE Energy's 2026 EPS guidance suggests 6% - 8% growth over 2025's $7.09 - $7.23 range. However, net income decreased from $477M in 2024-Q3 to $229M in 2025-Q3, indicating challenges in maintaining EPS growth trajectory.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
moderateworst 12m loss −10%, typical day ±0.8%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 20%; 252d 16%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −10%. Bad day move −2%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLU) 0.04 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 73/100, drawdown 80/100, beta 5/100, earnings vol .

Sector regime
headwind-6.6%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLU

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. label change · valuation_label
    severity 20

    Valuation label changed from 'full' to 'fair'.

As of 2026-05-08, the valuation label for DTE changed from 'full' to 'fair'. The forward view indicates an unfavorable direction for the composite delta estimates related to a guidance cut and a rates reversal, while there are favorable scenarios if the utilities sector trend improves or if next-quarter guidance is raised. The overall confidence label remains medium, and the signal is classified as mild favorable. The status is provisional.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite54.0 / 100
Capital allocation54
Earnings discipline63
Margin discipline76
Balance sheet25
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction45
as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

  • #1

    Achieve high end of EPS guidance range

    GrowthNew since 2026-05-04

    DTE Energy aims to achieve the high end of its EPS guidance range for 2026.

    Behind

    Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. DTE Energy's 2026 EPS guidance range is $7.59 - $7.73, aiming for the high end. However, financials show net income of $633M in 2025-Q4, down from $477M in 2024-Q3, indicating limited progress towards achieving the high end of the guidance range.

    0%
    CEO/CFO:DTE Energy confirms 2026 operating EPS guidance of $7.59 - $7.73.
    Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-30Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04
    Show history (3)
    • 2026-Q1Multiple sources

      DTE Energy confirms 2026 operating EPS guidance of $7.59 - $7.73.

    • 2025-Q4Multiple sources

      2026 operating EPS guidance provides 6% - 8% growth over 2025 guidance midpoint.

    • 2025-Q3Multiple sources

      DTE Energy also provided a 2026 operating EPS early outlook guidance range of $7.59 - $7.73.

  • #2

    Maintain EPS growth

    GrowthNew since 2026-05-04

    DTE Energy is focused on maintaining EPS growth through 2026.

    BehindMixed

    Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. DTE Energy's 2026 EPS guidance suggests 6% - 8% growth over 2025's $7.09 - $7.23 range. However, net income decreased from $477M in 2024-Q3 to $229M in 2025-Q3, indicating challenges in maintaining EPS growth trajectory.

    63%
    CEO/CFO:2026 operating EPS guidance provides 6% - 8% growth over 2025 guidance midpoint.
    Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-17Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04
    Show history (3)
    • 2026-Q1Multiple sources

      2026 operating EPS guidance provides 6% - 8% growth over 2025 guidance midpoint.

    • 2025-Q4Multiple sources

      DTE Energy confirms 2025 operating EPS guidance of $7.09 - $7.23.

    • 2025-Q3Multiple sources

      DTE Energy confirms 2025 operating EPS guidance of $7.09 - $7.23.

as of 2026-05-08
5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
57higher = cheaper

Roughly priced in line with peers.

Compared to its own history
44higher = cheaper

Around its own typical valuation.

P/E
19.7x
EV/EBITDA
9.4x
FCF yield
-5.0%

P/E over the last 5 years

71 monthly points
fairas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
DTE
DTE Energy
+12fairmoderate
NEE
NextEra Energy
+19fullmoderate
CEG
Constellation Energy
+16fullelevated
SO
Southern Company
+19fairmoderate
DUK
Duke Energy
+28inexpensivemoderate
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
0.8%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-1.6%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-10.1%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
moderateas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If utilities sector trend rises from -0.04 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
  • If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-30)+4.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-30)-8.0 pts
  • If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
  • If utilities sector trend falls from -0.04 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-05-018d agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. DTE Energy Company (“DTE Energy”) is furnishing the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) the financial statements for its indirect wholly-owned subsidiary, DTE Gas Company, for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. The financial statements were posted to DTE Energy's website at www.dteenergy.com on May 1, 2026. The financial statements are furnished as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference. In accordance with General Instruction B.2…

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 55
  2. 2026-04-309d agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. DTE Energy Company (DTE Energy) is furnishing the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) with its earnings release issued April 30, 2026, announcing financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the earnings release and the slide presentation, including supplemental financial information, are furnished as Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2 and incorporated herein by reference.

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 54
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-02-17 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.