Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Drilling Tools International Corp (DTI)
NASDAQEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$1.41-6.00%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
0.27 → 0.20 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 1 analyst
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 1 to 1; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for DTI yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Achieve adjusted EBITDA margin of 23%-26% in FY 2026 | It targets a 23%-26% adjusted EBITDA margin. | Broken | Adjusted EBITDA margin falls below 23% in FY26 | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 5, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
DTI is a high-risk, acquisition-driven growth story in the energy sector, rather than an established earnings compounder. The long-term thesis is intact, with medium confidence, but recent revenue is flat and the company is loss-making.
The valuation evidence is mixed: DTI is described as cheap versus peers, while another measure shows a 39% premium to peers. The expectations gap is negative, but model confidence is low; the evidence labels what is priced in as justified, with only sector turbulence flagged as a source of fragility.
Near term, revenue has been broadly flat, while management has reaffirmed its 2026 revenue range and its capital spending plan. The Saltire acquisition is expanding DTI’s geographic reach and product lines, but integration remains in progress. Earnings risk is elevated after a recent quarterly miss, despite the improved sector backdrop and a shift in the overall signal from mixed to mildly favorable.
The multi-year view depends on DTI delivering its 2026 revenue plan and turning acquisition-led expansion into sustained operating progress. A guidance cut would weaken the thesis, while continued strength from energy-sector bellwethers could support the sector backdrop; misses or lower guidance from those peers could remove that support.
Over the next one to three years, DTI’s expansion plans and sector tailwind are constructive, but loss-making results, flat recent revenue, and elevated earnings risk make execution central to the long-term thesis. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A supporting condition in Drilling Tools International Corp's published investment case. The stated target is $18M-$23M. |
| Intact |
| CAPEX exceeds $23M or falls below $18M in FY26 |
Capital expenditures: $4.229M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: $18M-$23M. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 7, 20264,229,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. Management contextStated in 2 of 2 supplied quarters. Management reported: “(1) Adjusted Free Cash Flow is a non-GAAP financial measure.” “www.CallStreet.com • 212-849-4070 • Copyright © 2001-2026 CallStreet 5 With the enhanced free cash flow of the combined company, we expect to reduce net leverage to approximately 1 times within 24 months of closing, an improvement of over 50% in a relatively short timeframe.” Delivery assessment Nov 4, 2026 |
Achieve FY 2026 revenue of $155M-$170M | A primary condition in Drilling Tools International Corp's published investment case. The stated target is $155M-$170M. | Intact | Revenue falls below $155M in FY26 | Revenue: $38.072M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: $155M-$170M. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 7, 202638,072,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. Management contextStated in 2 of 2 supplied quarters. Management reported: “(1) Adjusted Free Cash Flow is a non-GAAP financial measure.” “Wayne Prejean Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer 3 THE LIFECYCLE TO PROVIDE MISSION CRITICAL DRILLING TOOLS Sustainable Financial Results Expanding Global Footprint DTI continues to expand globally with extensive (1) $38.1 Million $8.4 Million operations in North America, Europe, Middle East, Q2 2026 revenue reflects Q2 2026 Adj.” Revenue was $38.072 million in 2026-Q2. Delivery assessment Nov 4, 2026 |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$0.26 → $0.20 · observed estimates
$0.17B → $0.20B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $0.26 | $171,719,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-25 | $0.26 | $171,783,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-07-26 | $0.26 | $171,783,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-07-27 | $0.26 | $171,783,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-07-28 | $0.26 | $171,783,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-07-29 | $0.26 | $171,783,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-07-30 | $0.26 | $171,783,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-07-31 | $0.26 | $171,783,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-01 | $0.26 | $171,783,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | $0.26 | $171,783,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-03 | $0.26 | $171,783,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-04 | $0.26 | $171,783,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-05 | $0.26 | $171,783,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-06 | $0.26 | $171,783,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-07 | $0.26 | $171,783,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | $0.26 | $171,783,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-09 | $0.26 | $171,783,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-10 | $0.26 | $171,783,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-11 | $0.26 | $171,783,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-12 | $0.26 | $171,783,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-13 | $0.27 | $175,096,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-14 | $0.26 | $171,783,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | $0.26 | $171,783,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-16 | $0.26 | $171,783,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-17 | $0.26 | $171,783,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-18 | $0.26 | $171,783,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-19 | $0.26 | $171,783,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-20 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-21 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-24 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-25 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-26 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-27 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-31 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-01 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-02 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-10 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-01 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-02 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-03 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-05 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-06 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-07 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-12 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-13 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-14 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | $0.27 | $175,107,200 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-16 | $0.20 | $199,369,700 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-17 | $0.20 | $199,369,700 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | $0.20 | $199,369,700 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-19 | $0.20 | $199,369,700 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | $0.20 | $199,369,700 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-21 | $0.20 | $199,369,700 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | $0.20 | $199,369,700 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | $0.20 | $199,369,700 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | $0.20 | $199,369,700 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | $0.20 | $199,369,700 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | $0.20 | $199,369,700 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | $0.20 | $199,369,700 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | $0.20 | $199,369,700 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | $0.20 | $199,369,700 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | $0.20 | $199,369,700 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | $0.20 | $199,369,700 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | $0.20 | $199,369,700 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | $0.20 | $199,369,700 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-03 | $0.20 | $199,369,700 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | $0.20 | $199,369,700 | 1 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 0 Buy / Strong Buy · 1 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.