Drilling Tools International Corp (DTI)
NASDAQEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$2.66+1.53%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DTI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -0.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 10.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 11.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 33 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
DTI — earnings miss
Dated 2026-05-07
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On May 7, 2026, Drilling Tools International Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing the Company’s financial and operating results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and incorporated herein by reference. The information in this report and the exhibits attached hereto shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (t…
Why it matters: Maintaining CAPEX within this range shows DTI is investing wisely in growth.
Supportive ifCAPEX reported for Q2 is between $18 million and $23 million.
Worry ifCAPEX reported for Q2 is outside the $18 million to $23 million range.
Why it matters: A recovery in revenue growth could show a positive change for DTI's business.
Supportive ifRevenue growth picks up above 2% in the next quarter.
Worry ifRevenue growth is still below 2%. This shows ongoing challenges in the sector.
Why it matters: This margin shows how well DTI controls costs while increasing revenue.
Watch forAdjusted EBITDA margin is 25% or higher. This shows good cost management.
Also watch forAdjusted EBITDA margin is below 23%. This may mean cost problems.
Why it matters: This would indicate that DTI is on track to meet its full-year revenue guidance of $155 million to $170 million.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported at or above $39 million, showing growth from Q2.
Worry ifQ3 revenue was below $38 million. This shows a decline or no growth.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$154 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $745 loss on $10,000 · 7.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,702 loss on $10,000 · 57.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Keeping this margin range is important for DTI's profits. It shows good cost control.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA margin was between 23% and 26% for Q3.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin was below 23%. This may mean cost problems.
Why it matters: New contracts would signal demand for DTI's innovative products and support revenue growth.
Supportive ifLook for a press release about new contracts for ClearPath technology in Europe.
Worry ifNo new contracts were announced. This may show challenges in market acceptance.
Why it matters: Staying in this range shows DTI's focus on smart spending and growth.
Supportive ifCapital spending was between $18 million and $23 million for 2026.
Worry ifCapital spending was over $23 million. This may mean they are overspending.