Drilling Tools International Corp (DTI)
NASDAQEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$1.41-6.00%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DTI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -30.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 25.5% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 56.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 20 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
DTI — earnings miss
Dated 2026-11-05
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On November 5, 2026, Drilling Tools International Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing the Company’s financial and operating results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and incorporated herein by reference. The information in this report and the exhibits attached hereto shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of the Securities Exchange Act o…
Why it matters: DTI has kept this 2026 revenue target, but recent quarterly revenue was nearly flat. Q3 results test progress toward the goal.
Watch forOn November 5, DTI reports Q3 revenue growth that keeps its 2026 revenue target at $155M-$170M.
Also watch forOn November 5, DTI cuts its 2026 revenue target below $155M or reports lower revenue year over year.
Why it matters: DTI says Saltire will add to margins and free cash flow per share in its first year. Results can test that claim and the deal's value.
Supportive ifIn the first full year after closing, DTI reports a higher adjusted EBITDA margin. It also reports higher adjusted free cash flow per share than before the deal.
Worry ifIn the first full year after closing, either measure falls below DTI's pre-deal level.
Why it matters: DTI has held this spending range. Staying within it would show that tool investment remains in line with its stated plan.
Supportive ifDTI reports 2026 capital spending between $18M and $23M.
Worry ifDTI reports 2026 capital spending below $18M or above $23M.
Why it matters: The Saltire deal needs DTI stockholder approval and other closing steps. Closing would bring its Eastern Hemisphere share to about 40% of revenue.
Supportive ifDTI stockholders approve the deal. Required filings and approvals are complete. DTI confirms a Q1 2027 close.
Worry ifDTI stockholders reject the deal, a required approval fails, or DTI delays or ends the transaction.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$172 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $780 loss on $10,000 · 7.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,704 loss on $10,000 · 67.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: DTI targets $17M-$22M of adjusted free cash flow, but Q1 cash flow was negative. Year-end results will show progress.
Watch forDTI reports 2026 adjusted free cash flow of at least $17M.
Also watch forDTI reports 2026 adjusted free cash flow below $17M.