Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Duos Technologies Group Inc (DUOT)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-05
$4.73-15.99%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-05
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
1.08 → 1.00 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 2 analysts
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 6, 2026 to Nov 5, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 1 to 2; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for DUOT yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Gross profit improves from recent lows | The company aims to improve gross profit margins despite recent declines. | Improving | gross profit falls below $1.6 million next year | Gross profit: $3.446M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: gross profit stabilizes or grows above $1.6 million. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Aug 19, 20263,446,096 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 5, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 11, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Review earningsObserved price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a speculative growth business, not yet a consistently profitable one. The multi-year view is on watch: early progress in capacity and quarterly profitability is offset by weaker momentum, volatile management signals, and performance below its industry cohort.
The valuation model indicates DUOT is expensive versus peers, despite a value factor reading of cheap; confidence in the model is low. The priced-in signal is tagged justified, with low fragility, but the expectations gap is negative, suggesting current expectations may be difficult to meet.
Near term, revenue rose from the first to the second quarter of 2026, and the company reported positive operating income and adjusted EBITDA in Q2. That is progress, but it does not yet establish full-year positive adjusted EBITDA or achievement of management’s 2026 revenue expectation; deploying contracted capacity remains in progress. A guidance cut would be a meaningful risk, while the recent momentum decline and CFO transition add uncertainty.
The multi-year thesis depends on DUOT deploying its contracted capacity, growing revenue, and sustaining improved profitability. The next guidance update is a key near-term test. Easier interest rates or steadier results from large technology companies could help the sector backdrop, while continued pressure among industry peers could weigh on the setup.
Over the next 1 to 3 years, DUOT has early evidence of execution but still needs to prove that growth and quarterly profitability can continue as capacity is deployed. The evidence supports a cautious, high-risk long-term thesis, with medium confidence. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A supporting condition in Duos Technologies Group Inc's published investment case. The stated target is no further key executive departures in next 4 quarters. |
| Improving |
| additional key executive departures occur |
0 departures vs 0 allowed New CFO appointed Aug 2026; CEO contract formalized Sep 2026; no departures reported. Nov 5, 2026Last status assessment Nov 5, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Revenue reaches at least $50 million by end 2026 | Management targets $50 million revenue by end 2026. | Intact | revenue falls below $25 million by end 2026 | Revenue: $6.175M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >= $50 million. Target period ends 2026-12-31; this observation covers 2026-Q2. Aug 19, 20266,175,423 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 5, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$0.35 → $1.00 · observed estimates
$0.08B → $0.16B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $0.35 | $80,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-25 | $0.35 | $80,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-26 | $0.35 | $80,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-27 | $0.35 | $80,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-28 | $0.35 | $80,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-29 | $0.35 | $80,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-30 | $0.35 | $80,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-31 | $0.35 | $80,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-01 | $0.35 | $80,000,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | $0.32 | $121,650,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-03 | $0.32 | $121,650,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-04 | $0.32 | $121,650,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-05 | $0.32 | $121,650,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-06 | $0.32 | $121,650,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-07 | $0.32 | $121,650,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | $0.32 | $121,650,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-09 | $0.32 | $121,650,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-10 | $0.32 | $121,650,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-11 | $0.32 | $121,650,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-12 | $0.32 | $121,650,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-13 | $0.32 | $121,650,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-14 | $0.32 | $121,650,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | $0.32 | $121,650,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-16 | $0.32 | $121,650,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-17 | $0.32 | $121,650,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-18 | $0.32 | $121,650,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-19 | $0.32 | $121,650,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-20 | $0.39 | $136,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-21 | $0.39 | $136,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | $0.39 | $136,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | $0.39 | $136,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-24 | $0.39 | $136,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-25 | $0.39 | $136,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-26 | $0.39 | $136,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-27 | $0.39 | $136,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | $0.39 | $136,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | $0.39 | $136,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | $0.39 | $136,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-31 | $0.39 | $136,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-01 | $0.39 | $136,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-02 | $0.39 | $136,600,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | $1.00 | $139,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | $1.00 | $139,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | $1.00 | $139,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | $1.00 | $139,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | $1.00 | $139,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | $1.00 | $139,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | $1.00 | $139,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-10 | $1.00 | $139,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | $1.00 | $139,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | $1.00 | $139,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | $1.00 | $139,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | $1.00 | $139,400,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | $1.08 | $159,466,667 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | $1.08 | $159,466,667 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | $1.08 | $159,466,667 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | $1.08 | $159,466,667 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | $1.08 | $159,466,667 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | $1.08 | $159,466,667 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | $1.08 | $159,466,667 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | $1.08 | $159,466,667 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | $1.08 | $159,466,667 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | $1.08 | $159,466,667 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | $1.08 | $159,466,667 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | $1.08 | $159,466,667 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | $1.08 | $159,466,667 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | $1.08 | $159,466,667 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | $1.08 | $159,466,667 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | $1.08 | $159,466,667 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-01 | $1.08 | $159,466,667 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-02 | $1.08 | $159,466,667 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-03 | $1.08 | $159,466,667 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | $1.08 | $159,466,667 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-05 | $1.08 | $159,466,667 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-06 | $1.08 | $159,466,667 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-07 | $1.08 | $159,466,667 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | $1.08 | $159,466,667 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | $1.08 | $159,466,667 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | $1.08 | $159,466,667 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | $1.00 | $157,800,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-12 | $1.00 | $157,800,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-13 | $1.00 | $157,802,125 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-14 | $1.00 | $157,802,125 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-15 | $1.00 | $157,802,125 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-16 | $1.00 | $157,802,125 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-17 | $1.00 | $157,802,125 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-18 | $1.00 | $157,802,125 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-19 | $1.00 | $157,802,125 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-20 | $1.00 | $157,802,125 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-21 | $1.00 | $157,802,125 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-22 | $1.00 | $157,802,125 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-23 | $1.00 | $157,802,125 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-24 | $1.00 | $157,802,125 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-25 | $1.00 | $157,802,125 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-26 | $1.00 | $157,802,125 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-27 | $1.00 | $157,802,125 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-28 | $1.00 | $157,802,125 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-29 | $1.00 | $157,802,125 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-30 | $1.00 | $157,802,125 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-31 | $1.00 | $157,802,125 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-11-01 | $1.00 | $157,802,125 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-11-02 | $1.00 | $157,802,125 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-11-03 | $1.00 | $157,802,125 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-11-04 | $1.00 | $157,802,125 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-11-05 | $1.00 | $157,802,125 | 2 / 2 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 2 Buy / Strong Buy · 1 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 7–Nov 5 · 2 recorded
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 1 without a comparable prior
Oct 7, 2026–Nov 5, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
2 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.