Duos Technologies Group Inc (DUOT)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$8.76-0.23%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DUOT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 9.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -29.2% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 38.8 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 120 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
DUOT — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-19
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 17, 2026, Duos Technologies Group, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing the financial and operating results of the Company for the quarter and six months ended June 30, 2026. The text of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference. Additionally, on August 17, 2026, the Company held an earnings call open to the public (the “Earnings Call”). Mr. Doug Recker, the Company’s Chief Exe…
Why it matters: This growth would confirm the company's ability to meet its $50 million revenue target for 2026.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue grows more than 25% year over year from $6.18 million in Q2 2026.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth is less than 25% year over year.
Why it matters: Exceeding $12 million in Q3 would confirm the company's path to $50 million in 2026 revenue.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue was over $12 million. This shows strong growth.
Worry ifQ3 revenue was under $10 million. This shows problems reaching the $50 million goal.
Why it matters: Completing the sale will help Duos focus on faster-growing chances. It will also help their finances.
Supportive ifThe sale will be confirmed by Q3 2026.
Worry ifNo announcement regarding the divestiture by the end of Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Sustained revenue growth is vital for the company's future. It shows demand for its products.
Watch forRevenue growth exceeds 10% year over year in the next quarter.
Also watch forRevenue growth drops below 5% year over year in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Getting positive operating income is a main goal for management. It shows better cost control and efficiency.
Supportive ifOperating income for Q2 shows a profit, moving above $0.
Worry ifOperating income stays negative or gets worse from -$3,631,546 in Q1.
Why it matters: This contract is important for revenue. It shows growth in the GPU-as-a-Service market.
Supportive ifThe company recognizes $26 million in revenue from the GPUaaS contract with Hydra Host in the second half of 2026.
Worry ifRevenue recognition from the GPUaaS contract falls short of $26 million.
Why it matters: Finishing these agreements would support Duos' plan in AI and help revenue grow.
Supportive ifAxe Compute finished the first project and got it accepted.
Worry ifThere are delays or failures in project readiness by Axe Compute.
Why it matters: Changes in leadership can change financial plans and reporting. This might affect investor trust.
Watch forThe new CFO presents a clear strategy that improves financial metrics in the next quarter.
Also watch forThe change causes confusion or delays in financial reports.
Why it matters: Stable or rising revenue would show that management's growth focus is working. This could boost investor feelings.
Supportive ifRevenue for Q2 increases from the $2,722,027 reported in Q1.
Worry ifRevenue continues to decline or stays below $2,722,027.
Why it matters: Higher margins mean better cost management. This helps the company's growth strategy.
Supportive ifGross profit margins exceed 50% in Q3 2026.
Worry ifGross profit margins remain below 50% in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: The capital raise aims to support growth plans. It could also improve cash and operations.
Supportive ifPositive cash flow will be reported in Q3 2026 due to the capital raise.
Worry ifNegative cash flow reported in Q3 2026 despite the capital raise.
Why it matters: Positive adjusted EBITDA shows the company is doing well. It also shows better efficiency.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA is positive in Q3 or Q4 2026.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA remains negative in Q3 or Q4 2026.
Why it matters: Progress on this partnership is key for expected revenue growth and deployment.
Supportive ifThere was news about important steps or launches with the Hydra Host partnership.
Worry ifThere are no updates or delays in the partnership's launch schedule.
Why it matters: The CFO leaving may change financial plans. Clear information is important.
Watch forManagement has a clear plan for finances after the CFO leaves.
Also watch forThere is no clear plan. This raises concerns about how money is managed.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$337 on $10,000 · ±3.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $762 loss on $10,000 · 7.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,891 loss on $10,000 · 48.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.