Dycom Industries (DY)
NYSEIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-11-04
$212.33-6.96%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DY
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -33.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 19.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 52.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 13 industry peers
DY — director transition
Dated 2026-08-04
Director — Mr. David J. Fallon and Mr. Michael C. Lenz: Two new directors were appointed to the Board of Directors.
Why it matters: The company raised this segment's revenue range. It cited Power Solutions and National Technology Integrators. A result above the range would mean more growth than planned.
Supportive ifFiscal 2027 Building Systems contract revenue is above $1.65 billion.
Worry ifFiscal 2027 Building Systems contract revenue is below $1.58 billion.
Why it matters: Dycom moved about $150 million of wireless program revenue out of fiscal 2027. More delays could hurt Communications revenue and margins.
Worry ifDycom reports that more wireless program revenue, beyond the stated $150 million, has shifted out of fiscal 2027.
Less concerning ifDycom reports no added delay and keeps the wireless program scope unchanged.
Why it matters: Dycom has raised its yearly revenue range after strong results. Falling below the new low end would weaken that growth signal.
Worry ifFiscal 2027 contract revenue is below $7.48 billion, the low end of the latest range.
Less concerning ifFiscal 2027 contract revenue lands within or above the $7.48 billion to $7.66 billion range.
Why it matters: That would top the high end of the Q3 revenue range. It would support the strong growth story.
Supportive ifAt the November 18 earnings report, contract revenue is above $1.98 billion.
Worry ifContract revenue is below $1.90 billion, the low end of the Q3 range.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$188 on $10,000 · ±1.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $530 loss on $10,000 · 5.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,033 loss on $10,000 · 60.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.