Electronic Arts (EA)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesElectronic Gaming & MultimediaSnapshot 2026-11-04
$209.700.00%
Close 2026-08-10 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesElectronic Gaming & MultimediaSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 200.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 194.6 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 1 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
EA — M&A activity — As a result of the Merger, at the Effective Time, a change of control of the…
Dated 2026-08-04
As a result of the Merger, at the Effective Time, a change of control of the Company occurred, and the Company became a wholly owned subsidiary of Parent. The total consideration payable in connection with the Merger and pursuant to the Merger Agreement is approximately $55 billion. The funds used by Parent to consummate the Merger and complete the related transactions came from equity financing and debt financing.
Why it matters: The deal used debt as well as equity funding. Higher interest costs can leave less cash for EA's games and daily work.
Worry ifA company filing shows higher interest costs. Or it shows operating cash flow below FY26's $2.553 billion.
Less concerning ifA company filing shows interest costs at or below the prior level. It also shows operating cash flow at or above $2.553 billion.
Why it matters: The owners said they plan to invest in EA's growth, including AI. Spending plans or named projects would show how that promise takes shape.
Supportive ifEA or its owners name a funded game, tool, or AI project and give a budget, launch window, or clear work plan.
Worry ifA company filing or owner says there are no new funded projects. It also says planned investment was cut or delayed.
Why it matters: EA reported record FY26 bookings, led by Battlefield 6 and growth in Apex. A new report can show if that strength continued after the deal closed.
Watch forThe next company report shows full-year net bookings above $8.026 billion. Battlefield, EA SPORTS FC, or Apex adds growth.
Also watch forThe next company report shows net bookings below $8.026 billion for a full year. Or it reports year-over-year declines in these franchises.
Why it matters: The sector has trailed over the past 20 and 60 days. More weakness could add pressure to game and media firms.
Worry ifThe sector's 60-day relative performance falls below -8.5%.
Less concerning ifThe sector's 60-day relative performance rises to zero or higher.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$13 on $10,000 · ±0.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $40 loss on $10,000 · 0.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $388 loss on $10,000 · 3.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: EA kept its $0.19 quarterly dividend before the deal closed. A new payment would show the owners kept that payout in place.
Watch forEA declares a quarterly cash dividend of at least $0.19 per share.
Also watch forEA declares a dividend below $0.19 per share or announces that payments have stopped.