NEW ORIENTAL EDUCATION and TECHNOLOGY GROUP INC (EDU)
NYSEConsumer StaplesEducation & Training ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$59.51+2.22%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesEducation & Training ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EDU
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -17.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 9 industry peers
Review the full earnings evidenceWhy it matters: Stronger GDP growth may mean a healthier economy. This could lead to more education spending.
Supportive ifGDP growth is revised up in the second estimate. This shows better economic performance.
Worry ifGDP growth is revised down. This shows economic weakness.
Why it matters: If revenue growth turns positive, it could signal a recovery in the sector. This may benefit New Oriental Education.
Supportive ifRevenue growth in the Consumer Staples sector is now positive. It was negative for less than a year.
Worry ifRevenue growth is still negative. This shows the sector is still shrinking.
Why it matters: The FOMC decision can change interest rates. This can affect how much people spend on education.
Watch forThe FOMC raised interest rates. This shows the economy is strong.
Also watch forThe FOMC cut interest rates. This shows the economy is weak.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth would show a change in the weak consumer staples sector. It may mean more demand for education services.
Supportive ifThree-year revenue growth is now positive. This shows demand is recovering.
Worry ifThree-year revenue growth is still negative. This shows the sector is still shrinking.
Why it matters: High unemployment claims may show economic weakness. This can hurt consumer spending. It matters for New Oriental's education services.
Worry ifUnemployment Insurance Weekly Claims report shows a rise in claims above 300,000.
Less concerning ifClaims fall below 250,000, indicating a strengthening job market.
Why it matters: Faster revenue growth shows a good change in the sector's growth stage.
Supportive ifRevenue growth returns to levels above 5% year over year.
Worry ifRevenue growth remains below 2% year over year.
Why it matters: The CPI affects how much people spend and can change demand for education services.
Watch forCPI increases by more than 0.4% month over month.
Also watch forCPI increases by less than 0.1% or decreases month over month.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$122 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $371 loss on $10,000 · 3.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,920 loss on $10,000 · 29.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.