Excelerate Energy, Inc. (EE)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas MidstreamSnapshot 2026-09-04
$40.03+0.83%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas MidstreamSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is still in the top half of its industry but slipped notably this past month — worth watching.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -4.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 23.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 27.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 17 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
EE — earnings miss
Dated 2026-05-06
The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), and will not be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, unless specifically identified therein as being incorporated therein by reference.
Why it matters: If revenue growth gets better, it shows good changes in the energy sector. This might mean Excelerate Energy is getting stronger in a steady market.
Supportive ifThree-year revenue growth rises above 2%.
Worry ifRevenue growth remains below 2%.
Why it matters: Stable capex guidance shows a clear spending plan. It shows management trusts their plans.
Supportive ifManagement says capex will stay between $100 million and $110 million.
Worry ifManagement cuts spending plans to less than $100 million.
Why it matters: Maintaining capex guidance shows stability in spending plans. It helps investors gauge future growth potential.
Supportive ifManagement says maintenance spending for 2026 will be $100 million to $110 million.
Worry ifManagement lowers capex guidance from the previous range.
Why it matters: A dividend increase shows management's trust in cash flow. It may bring in more investors.
Supportive ifThe dividend increase leads to a positive market reaction and higher share price.
Worry ifThe increase does not lead to any positive market reaction or share price growth.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$126 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $357 loss on $10,000 · 3.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,543 loss on $10,000 · 25.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Changes in EBITDA guidance show how well the company is doing.
Watch forAdjusted EBITDA guidance is now above $515 million for 2026.
Also watch forAdjusted EBITDA guidance is now below $480 million for 2026.
Why it matters: Dividend announcements show how well the company is doing. They also show care for shareholders.
Supportive ifA quarterly cash dividend is declared at or above $0.09 per share.
Worry ifThe dividend is cut below the previous quarter's $0.09 per share.
Why it matters: Finishing this project shows Excelerate can grow its fleet and services.
Supportive ifThe converted FSRU is ready for commercial deployment by early 2028.
Worry ifDelays in the FSRU conversion project push the timeline beyond early 2028.
Why it matters: Changes in operating income growth can show how well management is doing.
Supportive ifOperating income growth exceeds $82 million in Q2 2026.
Worry ifOperating income growth falls below $81 million in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Dividend news shows management's trust in cash flow and financial health. Changes can affect investors.
Supportive ifA new dividend increase or news will come after the September 3 payment.
Worry ifNo increase or a cut in the dividend, signaling potential cash flow issues.
Why it matters: Changes in growth capital plans show management's trust in future projects. Increases show growth potential.
Supportive ifAn increase in committed growth capital guidance beyond the current range of $380-$400 million.
Worry ifA drop in growth capital plans means possible project delays or cutbacks.
Why it matters: Updates on this project are key to Excelerate's growth plans. Delays could impact future earnings.
Watch forThere is news about big progress or completion of work for the Iraq terminal.
Also watch forThere are more delays in the Iraq LNG terminal project due to conflicts or rules.
Why it matters: The FSRU conversion is crucial for future capacity and earnings. Delays could impact growth expectations.
Watch forThe FSRU conversion project is on track for its early 2028 launch.
Also watch forThere is news of delays or higher costs for the FSRU conversion project.