Excelerate Energy, Inc. (EE)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas MidstreamSnapshot 2026-11-05
$35.34+3.06%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas MidstreamSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -7.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 29.5% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 36.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 10 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
EE — earnings miss
Dated 2026-05-06
The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), and will not be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, unless specifically identified therein as being incorporated therein by reference.
Why it matters: The vessel deal supports a new growth project, but spending is rising before it earns money.
Supportive ifThe Methane Patricia Camila is acquired. The converted vessel remains set for commercial use in early 2028.
Worry ifThe vessel deal is delayed or canceled, or the planned start moves past early 2028.
Why it matters: The Iraq terminal is a key growth project. Conflict has already delayed its start, so steady work is important.
Supportive ifCompany updates keep the early Q2 2027 start date. They report that construction is moving ahead.
Worry ifThe company pushes the start past early Q2 2027 or pauses site work due to safety risks.
Why it matters: The seven-year deal gives the Express long-term work and better terms than its current charter.
Supportive ifThe Express starts service at Colombia's new LNG terminal in Q1 2027, as planned.
Worry ifThe start slips past Q1 2027 or the seven-year charter is ended or changed.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$158 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $381 loss on $10,000 · 3.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,618 loss on $10,000 · 26.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.