ENERGY FOCUS INC (EFOI)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$3.69-7.63%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EFOI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 363.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 56.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 307.8 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 10 industry peers
EFOI — private placement
Dated 2026-06-03
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement . On May 29, 2026 , Energy Focus, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”) entered into a securities purchase agreement (the “Purchase Agreement”) with Euka Power Japan Co., Ltd. (the “Purchaser”), pursuant to which the Company agreed to issue and sell in a private placement (the “Private Placement”) an aggregate of 65,789 shares (the “Shares”) of the Company’s common stock, par value $0.0001 per share (the “Common Stock”), for a purchase price p…
Why it matters: Q2 sales rose to $3.7 million on higher commercial and military sales. A similar level would show that growth continued.
Supportive ifThe Q3 release reports net sales above $3.7 million.
Worry ifThe Q3 release reports net sales below $3.7 million. Either commercial or military sales are lower than in Q2.
Why it matters: Gross margin fell to -6.8% in Q2, after 23.3% in Q1. Another loss would show the margin pressure remains.
Worry ifThe Q3 release reports gross margin below 0%.
Less concerning ifThe Q3 release reports gross margin above 0%. Inventory reserves no longer cause a gross loss.
Why it matters: EFOI used $0.8 million in operating cash in the first half of 2026. Cash was $1.1 million at June 30.
Worry ifThe Q3 report shows operating cash use above $0.8 million for the quarter.
Less concerning ifThe Q3 report shows positive operating cash flow for the quarter.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$214 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $807 loss on $10,000 · 8.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,994 loss on $10,000 · 59.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.