Everforth Inc. (EFOR)
NYSEInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$32.55+2.26%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EFOR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -39.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 41.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 38 industry peers
EFOR — credit agreement
Dated 2026-07-09
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On July 7, 2026, Everforth, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into the Third Amendment to its Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement (the “Third Amendment”), by and among the Company, the lenders party thereto and Wells Fargo Bank, National Association, as administrative agent. The Third Amendment amends the Company’s existing Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, dated as of August 31, 2023 (as amended, restated, amended and restated, supple…
Why it matters: Less cash flow makes people worry about how the company manages its money.
Worry ifOperating cash flow is below $52.2 million. This shows cash management problems.
Less concerning ifOperating cash flow is at or above $52.2 million. This shows good cash management.
Why it matters: Keeping this margin shows good cost control and efficiency.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA margin is above 9.6% for Q3.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin is below 9.6%. This suggests rising costs or problems.
Why it matters: A drop in the EBITDA margin means less profit and lower efficiency.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin falls below 9.6%. This shows less profit.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EBITDA margin stays at or above 9.6%. This suggests steady profit.
Why it matters: A better margin means lower costs. It also shows more efficiency.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA margin was over 10%. This shows good cost control.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin stayed below 9.6%. This suggests ongoing cost issues.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$259 on $10,000 · ±2.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $585 loss on $10,000 · 5.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,798 loss on $10,000 · 68.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Comments on spending plans will show if management is sticking to its goals.
Supportive ifManagement talks about spending carefully. They want to be flexible with money.
Worry ifManagement does not talk about spending plans. This may mean there are problems.
Why it matters: Sector growth trends impact Everforth's performance. A slowdown could hurt revenue expectations.
Worry ifSector revenue growth falls below the median. This shows a wider slowdown.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth stays above the median. This suggests ongoing growth.
Why it matters: Updates on capital allocation will show if management is disciplined in using funds. This affects growth plans.
Watch forManagement announces new projects or investments. These match their careful spending plans.
Also watch forNo new projects are announced. Current projects are not performing well.
Why it matters: More share buybacks show that management believes in the company's worth.
Supportive ifThey announced share buybacks worth over $11.5 million.
Worry ifNo new share repurchases were announced. This shows possible cash flow concerns.
Why it matters: Maintaining revenue above this level shows strong demand and execution. It confirms growth stability.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue guidance is confirmed to be between $994 million and $1,024 million.
Worry ifQ3 revenue guidance falls below $994 million.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth signals a potential slowdown in the sector's growth phase.
Worry ifEverforth's revenue growth falls below the sector median of 5%.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth remains above the sector median of 5%.
Why it matters: New federal contracts are crucial for revenue growth in the government segment.
Supportive ifFederal contracts will be over $1 billion in the next reporting period.
Worry ifFederal contracts are below $0.9 billion. This shows there are competitive challenges.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if Everforth's revenue is growing or declining. This is key for investors.
Watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth above 5% year over year.
Also watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth below 0% year over year.
Why it matters: A slowdown in share buybacks may show less confidence in money use.
Worry ifManagement pauses or slows down the share buyback program.
Less concerning ifManagement continues or speeds up share buybacks. This shows strong money use.
Why it matters: Exceeding $1 billion in revenue would show strong demand and execution in the market.
Supportive ifQ3 revenues were over $1 billion. This shows strong performance.
Worry ifQ3 revenues were under $994 million. This suggests weaker demand.
Why it matters: Net income over $23 million shows strong operations and good cost control.
Supportive ifNet income reported above $23 million, showing strong earnings growth.
Worry ifNet income was below $14.5 million. This indicates possible problems.
Why it matters: A gross margin above 28% shows good cost management and pricing power.
Supportive ifGross margin was above 28.5% for Q3. This shows better profits.
Worry ifGross margin was below 28%. This indicates cost pressures.
Why it matters: Changes in the Producer Price Index can affect costs and pricing.
Watch forThe Producer Price Index shows a big increase. This means rising costs.
Also watch forThe Producer Price Index shows a big decrease. This means falling costs.