Emcor (EME)
NYSEIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-09-04
$754.16+1.73%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EME
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -4.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 15.7% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 20.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 32 industry peers
EME — officer change
Dated 2025-10-29
Director — Pat Roche: Pat Roche was elected to the Board of Directors and received a standard director compensation package.
Why it matters: Earnings reports can reveal performance trends. A strong report may support positive sentiment.
Watch forEarnings report shows revenue and EPS growth compared to last year.
Also watch forEarnings report shows revenue and EPS decline compared to last year.
Why it matters: Keeping guidance above $20 billion shows strong business growth. It proves demand in many areas.
Supportive ifManagement confirms Q3 revenue guidance remains in the range of $20.00 billion to $20.50 billion.
Worry ifManagement cuts Q3 revenue guidance to below $20 billion.
Why it matters: If EPS guidance stays above $32.00, it shows strong earnings growth. This can boost investor confidence.
Supportive ifManagement confirms Q3 diluted EPS guidance remains in the range of $32.00 to $33.25.
Worry ifManagement cuts Q3 diluted EPS guidance to below $32.00.
Why it matters: Steady revenue growth shows strong demand and good performance. This backs management's plans.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth exceeds 19% year-over-year.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth falls below 15% year-over-year.
Why it matters: Keeping or improving margins shows good cost control and efficiency.
Supportive ifQ3 operating margin is over 9.5%.
Worry ifQ3 operating margin falls below 9.0%.
Why it matters: Rising RPOs show strong future revenue and customer demand.
Supportive ifRPOs increase above $18 billion in Q3.
Worry ifRPOs decrease or remain below $17 billion in Q3.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$146 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $400 loss on $10,000 · 4.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,874 loss on $10,000 · 28.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.