Ensign Group (ENSG)
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$182.39-3.14%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ENSG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -8.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 14.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 23.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 12 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ENSG — credit agreement
Dated 2026-08-20
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On August 19, 2026, The Ensign Group, Inc. ("Ensign" or the "Company"), Standard Bearer Healthcare REIT, Inc., Truist Bank, as administrative agent, and the lenders party thereto entered into the Fourth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement (the Credit Facility) which amended and restated the Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement as of October 1, 2019, increasing the existing revolving credit facility by $200.0 million to an aggregate principa…
Why it matters: Management raised its 2026 EPS range to $7.94–$8.02. Reaching the range floor would back its stronger outlook.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 adjusted diluted EPS is at least $7.94.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 adjusted diluted EPS is below $7.94. Or management cuts its range before year-end.
Why it matters: Strong survey results support Ensign's claim that care quality helps it win patients and referrals. A drop would weaken that evidence.
Watch forThe next survey results for the same facilities are better than those of state peers.
Also watch forThe next survey results for the same facilities match or trail those of state peers.
Why it matters: Same-facility occupancy was 84.1% in Q3, up from a year ago. Further gains would support the demand and growth story.
Supportive ifThe next occupancy report for the same facilities is above 84.1%.
Worry ifThe next occupancy report for the same facilities is below 84.1%.
Why it matters: Skilled mix revenue grew 10.7% year over year in Q3. Keeping growth above 10% would show that this key trend continues.
Supportive ifRevenue from skilled care at the same facilities grows more than 10% year over year in the next reported quarter.
Worry ifSame-facility skilled mix revenue growth is 10% or less year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$83 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $255 loss on $10,000 · 2.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,181 loss on $10,000 · 31.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.