Edgewell Personal Care (EPC)
NYSEConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$28.87+1.30%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EPC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -5.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -9.2% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 3.4 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 18 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
EPC — officer change
Dated 2026-05-26
Chief Supply Chain Officer — Paul R. Hibbert: Mr. Hibbert will no longer serve as Chief Supply Chain Officer.
Why it matters: A larger decline would signal ongoing challenges in Edgewell's core markets. This could impact investor confidence.
Worry ifQ2 organic net sales decline worse than 2.0%.
Less concerning ifQ2 organic net sales show growth or decline less than 2.0%.
Why it matters: This report will share important updates on sales and profits. It will also cover overall performance.
Watch forThe earnings report shows better sales and profits compared to earlier quarters.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows ongoing drops in sales and profits.
Why it matters: Regular dividend payments show financial stability. They also show care for shareholders. This can boost investor trust.
Supportive ifQuarterly dividend of $0.15 per share declared again in Q4 2026.
Worry ifDividend payment is cut or suspended in Q4 2026.
Why it matters: Changes in the dividend policy could signal shifts in financial strategy or cash flow health.
Watch forThe company maintains or increases the dividend payout from $0.15.
Also watch forThe company cuts the dividend payout from $0.15.
Why it matters: New leaders can change company plans and how it works. This can affect future success.
Watch forMetrics get better after a change in leaders.
Also watch forMetrics get worse after a change in leaders.
Why it matters: Better margins mean improved cost management and pricing power. These are key for making money.
Supportive ifAdjusted gross margin increases by more than 20 basis points in Q4 2026.
Worry ifAdjusted gross margin declines further in Q4 2026.
Why it matters: Growth in organic sales is key for Edgewell's recovery plan. It shows if management is doing well.
Supportive ifOrganic net sales increase by more than 0.5% in Q4 2026.
Worry ifOrganic net sales decline again or stay flat in Q4 2026.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow shows better efficiency and financial health. This helps support growth plans.
Supportive ifCash from operations is over $50 million in Q4 2026.
Worry ifCash from operations turns negative again in Q4 2026.
Why it matters: Changes in leadership can affect how well a company runs. This can change profits.
Watch forNew supply chain officer announced with a strong track record.
Also watch forNo new supply chain officer appointed or a weak candidate is named.
Why it matters: Better cash flow shows stronger efficiency and better financial health.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations is positive in Q3. This shows improved efficiency.
Worry ifCash flow from operations is still negative. This signals ongoing challenges.
Why it matters: Changes in guidance can show how confident management is about future earnings. This impacts investor feelings.
Watch forManagement raises adjusted EPS guidance to more than $2.00 for FY 2026.
Also watch forManagement lowers adjusted EPS guidance to less than $1.70 for FY 2026.
Why it matters: Better gross profit margins would mean progress in managing costs and setting prices.
Supportive ifGross profit margin increases from 41.8% in Q2 to above 42% in Q3.
Worry ifGross profit margin declines further below 41.8% in Q3.
Why it matters: The Chief Supply Chain Officer left. This could affect operations and costs. Stability in this role is key.
Worry ifA new Chief Supply Chain Officer is appointed quickly and shows strong credentials.
Less concerning ifThe job stays open for a long time. No qualified replacement is found.
Why it matters: Inflation data can change how much people spend and how prices are set. This will help understand the market for Edgewell's products.
Watch forCPI shows a lower than expected increase on August 12, 2026.
Also watch forCPI shows a higher than expected increase on August 12, 2026.
Why it matters: A drop below $1.70 could show bigger problems with profits and costs.
Worry ifAdjusted EPS reported below $1.70 in Q2 2026.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EPS reported at or above $1.70.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$170 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $379 loss on $10,000 · 3.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,293 loss on $10,000 · 32.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.