EPR Properties (EPR)
NYSEReal EstateReit - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
$59.99-0.81%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EPR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 17.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| -5.7% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 22.7 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 13 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
EPR — credit agreement
Dated 2026-07-20
Entry into a Material Agreement. On July 17, 2026, EPR Properties (the “ Company ”) entered into a Fifth Amended, Restated and Consolidated Credit Agreement (the “ Amended Credit Agreement ”) providing for a $1.0 billion senior unsecured revolving credit facility (the “ New Revolving Credit Facility ”) and a $600.0 million senior unsecured delayed draw term loan facility (the “ New Term Loan Facility ”) with KeyBank National Association (“ KeyBank ”), as administrative agent, and the other ag…
Why it matters: A return to faster revenue growth would signal a positive shift in the business. This could help improve investor sentiment and support higher valuations.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth reported above 7%.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth remains below 7%.
Why it matters: Higher investment spending shows strong growth and confidence in the portfolio.
Supportive ifInvestment spending in Q2 exceeds $150 million.
Worry ifInvestment spending in Q2 is below $100 million.
Why it matters: Higher investment spending could indicate confidence in future growth and expansion. This would be a positive signal for investors.
Supportive ifManagement plans to spend more on investments in the next earnings call.
Worry ifManagement keeps or cuts investment spending plans.
Why it matters: Keeping dividend payments shows financial health and care for shareholders. This can help investors.
Supportive ifManagement says they will pay dividends in the Q2 earnings report.
Worry ifManagement says they will cut or stop dividends.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$69 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $210 loss on $10,000 · 2.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,950 loss on $10,000 · 19.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Confirming guidance shows management is sure about earnings growth. It shows stable operations.
Supportive ifManagement confirms FFOAA per diluted share guidance for 2026 is between $5.41 and $5.57.
Worry ifManagement revises FFOAA per diluted share guidance down from the current range.
Why it matters: A rise in dividends shows strong cash flow and a focus on shareholders.
Supportive ifThe company raises its monthly dividend above $0.93 per share.
Worry ifThe company maintains or lowers the monthly dividend from $0.93 per share.
Why it matters: More investment spending shows strong growth. It shows a commitment to expanding the portfolio. This can lead to more revenue and earnings.
Supportive ifTotal investment spending for 2026 is over $600 million.
Worry ifTotal investment spending for 2026 falls below $600 million.
Why it matters: More money from property sales can help cash flow and support growth. This can help the stock.
Supportive ifManagement raises guidance for proceeds in the next earnings call.
Worry ifManagement cuts their guidance for proceeds.
Why it matters: An increase in dividends would reflect strong cash flow and commitment to returning value to shareholders. This can boost investor confidence.
Supportive ifThe company announces a dividend increase to over $0.31 per share.
Worry ifThe company keeps or lowers the dividend payment.
Why it matters: An increase shows strong cash flow. It also shows management cares about shareholders.
Supportive ifManagement plans to raise the monthly dividend from $0.31 per share.
Worry ifNo dividend increase is announced in Q3.
Why it matters: Hitting the lower end of the sale guidance shows good asset management.
Supportive ifDisposition proceeds total $50 million or more by the end of 2026.
Worry ifDisposition proceeds total less than $50 million by the end of 2026.
Why it matters: Stabilizing operating income shows EPR can manage costs effectively. This is key for long-term growth.
Supportive ifOperating income was above $100 million in Q2.
Worry ifOperating income was below $95 million in Q2.
Why it matters: Completing this acquisition would improve the portfolio and help growth. It shows management can carry out its investment plan.
Supportive ifThe acquisition of La Ronde is completed as planned.
Worry ifThe acquisition of La Ronde is delayed or falls through.
Why it matters: Growing faster than this rate shows strong demand for experiential properties.
Supportive ifTotal revenue growth exceeds 10% YoY in Q3.
Worry ifTotal revenue growth is 10% or lower YoY in Q3.
Why it matters: If the company maintains or raises its FFOAA guidance, it shows strong earnings growth. This supports investor confidence in the company's growth strategy.
Supportive ifFFOAA guidance for 2026 remains at or above $5.41 per diluted share.
Worry ifFFOAA guidance for 2026 falls below $5.41 per diluted share.
Why it matters: Keeping or raising the dividend shows financial strength. It shows a commitment to giving value to shareholders. This can increase investor confidence.
Supportive ifMonthly dividend payments remain at or above $0.31 per share.
Worry ifMonthly dividend payments fall below $0.31 per share.