EPR Properties (EPR)
NYSEReal EstateReit - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-04
NYSEReal EstateReit - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EPR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 12.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| -8.0% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 20.8 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 7 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
EPR — credit agreement
Dated 2026-07-20
Entry into a Material Agreement. On July 17, 2026, EPR Properties (the “ Company ”) entered into a Fifth Amended, Restated and Consolidated Credit Agreement (the “ Amended Credit Agreement ”) providing for a $1.0 billion senior unsecured revolving credit facility (the “ New Revolving Credit Facility ”) and a $600.0 million senior unsecured delayed draw term loan facility (the “ New Term Loan Facility ”) with KeyBank National Association (“ KeyBank ”), as administrative agent, and the other ag…
Why it matters: EPR raised its spending range as it expands its experiential property mix. Spending near the new range would show that investment plans are moving ahead.
Supportive ifEPR reports 2026 investment spending of at least $675 million, with new deals or projects disclosed.
Worry ifEPR reports spending below $675 million or cuts its $675–$725 million range.
Why it matters: EPR raised its 2026 FFOAA range after Q3 growth. Meeting the new range would support its earnings growth story.
Supportive ifEPR reports 2026 FFOAA per diluted share of at least $5.49.
Worry ifEPR reports 2026 FFOAA per diluted share below $5.49 or cuts its range.
Why it matters: This is EPR's first live venue and a new relationship with Live Nation. Progress would show whether the new property type can join its growing portfolio.
Supportive ifEPR reports progress on construction or an opening date for the Portland Live Nation venue.
Worry ifEPR reports a delay, cost cut, or cancellation for the Portland venue.
Why it matters: EPR has linked expected share-sale cash to its credit terms and investment plans. Settlement brings in cash but adds shares.
Watch forEPR settles the forward sales and reports net proceeds near $134.6 million, with share count disclosed.
Also watch forThe agreements expire or change, and EPR does not receive the estimated net proceeds.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$69 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $210 loss on $10,000 · 2.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,950 loss on $10,000 · 19.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.