Ethan Allen Interiors, Inc. (ETD)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$22.49+2.83%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ETD
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 15.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -1.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 16.7 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 15 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ETD — earnings miss
Dated 2025-10-29
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On October 29, 2025, Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. (“Ethan Allen” or the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fiscal 2026 first quarter ended September 30, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and incorporated by reference herein. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02 (Results of Operations and Financial Condition), including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed…
Why it matters: New design centers help growth and increase Ethan Allen's market reach.
Supportive ifEthan Allen opens at least two new design centers as planned in fiscal 2027.
Worry ifEthan Allen fails to open any new design centers as planned.
Why it matters: A larger decline in net sales would signal worsening demand in a tough market.
Worry ifQ3 net sales decline worse than -5% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 net sales decline less than -5% year over year or show growth.
Why it matters: Updates on tariffs could affect costs and pricing. This is crucial for maintaining margins.
Watch forManagement says tariff costs are lower. They see a good effect from tariff changes.
Also watch forManagement says costs are higher because of tariffs. They see no improvement.
Why it matters: If the margin goes below 7%, it shows bigger operational problems and cost issues.
Worry ifIn Q3, the adjusted operating margin is over 7%.
Less concerning ifIn Q3, the adjusted operating margin is under 7%.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$132 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $298 loss on $10,000 · 3.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,635 loss on $10,000 · 36.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: If it drops below this level, it shows cash flow problems. This affects capital management and dividends.
Worry ifOperating cash flow in Q3 is above $15 million.
Less concerning ifOperating cash flow in Q3 drops below $15 million.
Why it matters: A significant revenue drop would show ongoing struggles in a tough market. This could impact profitability.
Worry ifQ4 revenue declines more than 10% compared to the same quarter last year.
Less concerning ifQ4 revenue declines less than 10% year over year or shows growth.
Why it matters: Higher tariffs could hurt profit margins more. This is a tough situation for businesses.
Worry ifGross margin impact from tariffs exceeds 2% in the next quarter.
Less concerning ifGross margin impact from tariffs remains at or below 2% in the next quarter.
Why it matters: A better operating margin shows the company controls costs well. It also works efficiently.
Supportive ifOperating margin goes above 5.0% in Q4.
Worry ifOperating margin stays below 5.0% in Q4.
Why it matters: A drop in gross margin may mean rising costs or pricing pressures.
Worry ifGross margin falls below 58% in the next quarter.
Less concerning ifGross margin remains above 58%.
Why it matters: Opening new centers shows commitment to growth and can boost sales in new markets.
Supportive ifAt least two new design centers open in 2027 as planned.
Worry ifNo new design centers open in 2027 as planned.
Why it matters: A decline greater than 10% would show worsening demand in the retail segment. This could signal deeper issues in consumer spending.
Worry ifRetail segment written orders decline more than 10% year over year.
Less concerning ifRetail segment written orders decline less than 10% year over year or stabilize.
Why it matters: Cash flow below $20 million would signal weakening financial health. It could impact future investments and dividends.
Worry ifOperating cash flow drops below $20 million.
Less concerning ifOperating cash flow is above $20 million.