Etsy (ETSY)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
$76.51-6.73%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
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Put ETSY beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 4% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens weak on earnings delivery, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 42% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskETSY's growth relies on strong marketplace fundamentals and effective capital allocation strategies. Revenue grew 9% year over year, and the latest quarter beat expectations. It trades at 22× P/E versus a 15× peer median, indicating the price reflects less growth than forecast. If ETSY cuts guidance on the next call, that would be a significant negative. Peer multiples imply a price roughly in line with where it trades (about fair).
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. ETSY is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 31 analysts currently covering ETSY (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 14 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for ETSY in the last 4 months.
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Compare ETSY with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETSY Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Broadline Retail — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put ETSY next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Drive sustainable long-term growth for Etsy marketplace
Etsy cutting staff may hinder growth objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $76.51
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $76.51.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Upgrade indicates confidence in Etsy's growth potential.
Threatens: Restructure organization to improve speed and focus
Workforce reduction may hinder organizational restructuring efforts.
Threatens: Improve operating income and profitability
Workforce reduction may hinder profitability improvement efforts.
Advances: Drive sustainable long-term growth for Etsy marketplace
Strengthening marketplace fundamentals support long-term growth objective.
Advances: Drive sustainable long-term growth for Etsy marketplace
Q2 earnings indicate strong growth in marketplace sales.
Advances: Drive sustainable long-term growth for Etsy marketplace
Efficiency push supports long-term growth and marketplace strength.
Advances: Enhance cash from operations and capital allocation
New share repurchase program enhances capital allocation strategy.
