EverQuote, Inc. (EVER)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$24.91-1.58%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EVER
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 2.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 12.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 10.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 32 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
Why it matters: Slower net income growth may mean challenges in keeping profits high.
Worry ifIf net income growth is below 20% year over year, it may signal profit issues.
Less concerning ifIf net income growth is above 20% year over year, it shows strong profit trends.
Why it matters: New AI products could enhance competitive position and drive future growth.
Watch forAnnouncement of new AI products or solutions.
Also watch forNo new AI product announcements in Q3.
Why it matters: Achieving this growth would show EverQuote is on track with its targets. It confirms strong demand and effective strategies.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue was $195 million or more. This shows 21% growth from last year.
Worry ifQ2 revenue was less than $185 million. This means growth is weaker than expected.
Why it matters: Updates on AI initiatives show how well the company is innovating. Success in this area can drive future growth and market share.
Watch forNew AI products or upgrades announced that help get new customers.
Also watch forNo new AI projects announced or delays in AI product launches.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$175 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $530 loss on $10,000 · 5.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,880 loss on $10,000 · 48.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: If the sector shows positive growth, it could boost EverQuote's performance. It indicates a healthier market.
Watch forSector revenue growth reported above 0% for the next quarter.
Also watch forSector revenue growth was below -2%. This shows the sector is still shrinking.
Why it matters: Meeting this target would show strong profits and good operations.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA is $31 million or more.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA is less than $28 million.
Why it matters: More money spent on marketing shows confidence in growth and getting new customers.
Supportive ifMarketing spending is over $59 million.
Worry ifMarketing spending is below $56 million.
Why it matters: Keeping net income above this level shows strong profits and good operations.
Supportive ifNet income reported above $19 million.
Worry ifNet income reported below $18 million.
Why it matters: Meeting or exceeding this guidance would show strong demand and growth momentum.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported at $208 million or higher.
Worry ifQ3 revenue reported below $198 million.