Eagle Materials (EXP)
NYSEMaterialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$194.48+0.46%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EXP
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $194 EXP trades at 15× p/e, below its 18× p/e peer median, but our blended $172 fair value sits below the price. We hold it with medium confidence: our number sits below the analyst range. Analysts target $200–$240. Note: our $172 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($200–$240). Even valued only for durable growth at sustainable margins, it's worth about $220 — above today's price, so the premium reflects that growth case, not pure multiple expansion. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $222.50 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $80.05 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $116.68 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $142.34 | 26.0 | 5.48 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$200.00 – $240.00 (median $222.50) · 6 analysts · as of 2026-08-24
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3, 2027-Q1
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $200.38 |
| 15.0 |
| 13.35 |
| ntm analyst |
| high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $111.55 | 1.5 | 74.78 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $177.34 | 14.0 | 12.65 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $78.14 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $207.26 | 16.4 | 12.65 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $226.43 | 17.9 | 12.65 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $56.95 | 26.0 | 2.19 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $255.67 | 15.0 | 17.03 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $124.82 | 1.5 | 83.68 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $238.77 | 14.0 | 17.03 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $279.06 | 16.4 | 17.03 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $30.92 | 26.0 | 1.19 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $275.07 | 15.0 | 18.32 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $134.29 | 1.5 | 90.03 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $256.89 | 14.0 | 18.32 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $300.24 | 16.4 | 18.32 | Analyst | high |