Eagle Materials (EXP)
NYSEMaterialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$198.19+2.82%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EXP
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 34.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 32.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 18 industry peers
EXP — earnings miss
Dated 2026-11-04
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On November 4, 2026, Eagle Materials Inc., a Delaware corporation (“Eagle”), announced its results of operations for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. A copy of Eagle’s earnings press release announcing these results is being furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and is incorporated herein by reference.
Why it matters: Annual earnings fell even as revenue and Cement volume reached records. The next report tests whether cost pressure is easing.
Supportive ifThe November 4 report shows net earnings above the same quarter last year.
Worry ifThe November 4 report shows net earnings below the same quarter last year.
Why it matters: Wallboard sales fell as home building stayed soft. Higher prices or volume would ease pressure on Light Materials earnings.
Watch forIn the next reported quarter, Wallboard volume is at least flat year over year and net price is no longer down year over year.
Also watch forIn the next reported quarter, Wallboard volume falls more than 2% year over year and net price remains down at least 10%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$145 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $287 loss on $10,000 · 2.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,192 loss on $10,000 · 31.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.