Exponent, Inc. (EXPO)
NASDAQIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-11-04
$85.83-1.83%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EXPO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 77.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 0.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 77.5 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 12 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
EXPO — dividend update
Dated 2026-10-29
Regulation FD Disclosure. On October 29, 2026, Exponent, Inc. announced that its Board of Directors has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.31 per share to be paid on December 18, 2026, to all common stockholders of record as of December 4, 2026. A copy of the press release announcing the dividend is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2 and is incorporated herein by reference.
Why it matters: The payment is the next stated step in the company’s dividend plan. A change or missed payment would break that stated pattern.
Watch forExponent pays the declared $0.31 per share dividend on Dec. 18, 2026.
Also watch forExponent delays, cancels, or cuts the declared $0.31 per share payment before Dec. 18.
Why it matters: Exponent raised its full-year revenue and margin outlook in Q3. Meeting or raising those goals would confirm strong delivery; a cut would weaken that signal.
Watch forFinal 2026 revenue growth is at least 10%, and EBITDA margin is at least 28.0%.
Also watch forFinal 2026 revenue growth is below 10%, or EBITDA margin is below 28.0%.
Why it matters: Management guides to 8%–10% Q4 growth in revenue before reimbursements. A miss would break the latest growth trend.
Worry ifQ4 revenue before reimbursements grows less than 8% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ4 revenue before reimbursements grows 8% or more year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$119 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $286 loss on $10,000 · 2.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,245 loss on $10,000 · 32.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.