First Capital, Inc. (FCAP)
NASDAQFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-11-05
$61.99-3.71%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FCAP
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 10.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 13.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 2.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of — · Company calendar date is not available
FCAP — divestiture
Dated 2026-11-05
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement . Overview On November 4, 2026, First Capital, Inc. (“First Capital”), an Indiana corporation, entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger (the “Merger Agreement”) with First Bancorp of Indiana, Inc. (“First Bancorp”), an Indiana corporation, pursuant to which First Bancorp will merge with and into First Capital, whereupon the separate corporate existence of First Bancorp will cease and First Capital will survive (the “Merger”). In connection with t…
Why it matters: Q3 net income was $5.1 million, up from $4.5 million a year ago. Another year-over-year gain would support steady earnings growth.
Watch forQ4 net income is above $5.1 million and above the year-earlier quarter.
Also watch forQ4 net income is below $5.1 million or below the year-earlier quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$110 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $406 loss on $10,000 · 4.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,251 loss on $10,000 · 32.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.