Flux Power Holdings Inc (FLUX)
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$0.59+6.17%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
Intact: The reason to own it still holds.
Flux Power aims for 20% revenue growth in Q4. It signed a stock deal with Roth Investments. The company makes lithium battery systems for forklifts and airport equipment.
Flux Power is losing money and sales are falling. Analysts expect revenue to drop 17% next year. The stock price dropped 44% from its high.
The market expects about 17% revenue decline. Our fair value is $8.27, reflecting a turnaround hope. We differ by seeing risk in execution and growth.
Breaks if: agreement fails or funding is withdrawn
Breaks if: major tariff or order disruptions occur causing delays or cost spikes
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a turnaround story with high volatility. The current thesis state is cautious, as recent performance has not met industry standards, and there are significant risks ahead.
The market seems to have priced in a low valuation compared to peers, indicating that expectations are modest. The current valuation reflects a divergence, suggesting that investors are not overly optimistic about future performance.
Management is focused on achieving sequential revenue growth and reducing costs, but results have been mixed. The recent financial performance has been weak, and there is a notable risk of missing future earnings expectations.
The long-term thesis hinges on FLUX's ability to meet its revenue growth targets and manage costs effectively. Additionally, the performance of sector bellwethers will be crucial, as their success or failure could impact FLUX's trajectory.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Yes, our read has weakened. The latest earnings miss has negatively impacted expectations. Management guided for Q1 FY2027 revenue to be lower than Q4 FY2026. This guidance indicates a decline in revenue, which threatens growth objectives.
as of 2026-09-04
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Breaks if: sequential revenue growth falls below 10% in Q4 2026
In the next 1 to 3 years, FLUX must navigate significant risks while trying to improve its financial standing. Not investment advice.