Expectations trend
FY2028 · fiscal year ending 2028-06-30 · fmp
Flux Power Holdings Inc (FLUX)
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.31-24.92%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
Matching fiscal periods, usable estimates and at least one analyst are required.
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least one analyst and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for FLUX yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Successful execution of Material Definitive Agreement with Roth Investments | It signed a stock deal with Roth Investments. | Intact | agreement fails or funding is withdrawn | Qualitative condition This condition has no defined numerical measure. Nov 4, 2026Last status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2028 · fiscal year ending 2028-06-30 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Next earnings date unavailable
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a high-risk, loss-making growth business rather than a durable compounder today. Its multi-year view is still in a watch state, with some improvement in the signal but recent performance well below its industry cohort.
FLUX is described as cheap versus peers, but the valuation model has low confidence and the expectations gap is negative. The snapshot labels pricing as justified and fragility as low, so it does not show that unusually fragile expectations are a central part of the current setup.
Near term, revenue grew 25% sequentially in Q4, slightly ahead of management’s expectations, while operating expenses were about 32% lower than a year earlier. Those are signs of progress, but overall results remain weak, management is rated volatile, and the next earnings report carries elevated miss risk.
The multi-year thesis depends on FLUX sustaining revenue growth, expanding its OEM customer base, and keeping costs lean. Near term, a guidance cut would be a meaningful negative; continued strength or weakness from sector bellwethers ETN, VRT, and BE could also change the sector backdrop.
Over the next 1 to 3 years, the evidence points to an early, high-risk execution story with encouraging revenue and cost trends but substantial uncertainty. The thesis hinges on sustained operating progress and sector conditions. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A supporting condition in Flux Power Holdings Inc's published investment case. The stated target is stable supply chain with no major disruptions. |
| Under Pressure |
| major tariff or order disruptions occur causing delays or cost spikes |
Qualitative: Q1 loss widened, revenue fell; COO resigned Q1 revenue fell, loss widened. COO Jeff Mason resigned. Surprise OEM order noted but insufficient to offset negative trends. Nov 4, 2026Last status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Achieve 20% sequential revenue growth in Q4 2026 | A primary condition in Flux Power Holdings Inc's published investment case. The stated target is >=20% sequential growth. | Improving | sequential revenue growth falls below 10% in Q4 2026 | Revenue growth: 0% FY2027-Q1; GAAP. Published target: >=20% sequential growth. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Nov 3, 20260 percent · calculatedLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. Management contextStated in 2 of 3 supplied quarters. Management reported: “With a leaner cost structure and growing market demand for lithium-ion battery solutions, I believe we’re in a much stronger position to drive growth and move toward profitability in the coming quarters.”” “With a leaner cost structure, a refreshed sales leadership team, expanding OEM relationships and upgraded offerings in place, I believe we are well positioned to deliver renewed growth and accelerate our path to profitability as broader economic conditions improve.”” Delivery assessment Nov 4, 2026 |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$0.01 → $-0.04 · observed estimates
$0.07B → $0.07B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $0.01 | $68,625,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-07-25 | $0.01 | $68,625,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-07-26 | $0.01 | $68,625,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-07-27 | $0.01 | $68,625,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-07-28 | $0.01 | $68,625,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-07-29 | $0.01 | $68,625,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-07-30 | $0.01 | $68,625,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-07-31 | $0.01 | $68,625,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-01 | $0.01 | $68,625,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-02 | $0.01 | $68,625,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-03 | $0.01 | $68,625,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-04 | $0.01 | $68,625,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-05 | $0.01 | $68,625,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-06 | $0.01 | $68,625,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-07 | $0.01 | $68,625,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-08 | $0.01 | $68,625,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-09 | $0.01 | $68,625,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-10 | $0.01 | $68,625,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-11 | $0.01 | $68,625,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-12 | $0.01 | $68,625,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-13 | $0.01 | $68,625,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-14 | $0.01 | $68,625,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-15 | $0.01 | $68,625,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-16 | $0.01 | $68,625,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-17 | $0.01 | $68,625,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-18 | $0.01 | $68,625,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-19 | $0.01 | $68,625,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-20 | $0.01 | $68,625,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-21 | $0.01 | $68,625,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-22 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-23 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-24 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-25 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-26 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-27 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-28 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-29 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-30 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-08-31 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-01 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-02 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-03 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-04 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-05 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-06 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-07 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-08 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-09 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-10 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-11 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-12 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-09-13 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-01 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-02 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-03 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-05 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-06 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-07 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-12 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-13 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-14 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-16 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-17 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-19 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-21 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-11-02 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-11-03 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 2 |
| 2026-11-04 | $-0.04 | $68,425,500 | 1 / 2 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 3 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 1 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.