Flux Power Holdings Inc (FLUX)
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$0.59+6.17%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FLUX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -89.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 29.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 119.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 32 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
FLUX — earnings in line
Dated 2026-08-20
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 20, Flux Power Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing, among other things, limited financial and operational information for its fiscal third quarter ended June 30, 2026 and provided certain forward-looking performance estimates. In addition, the Company will hold a conference call on August 20, 2026 to discuss such results. The full text of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report…
Why it matters: Cutting costs can help make more money and work better. This is key for financial health.
Supportive ifOperating expenses fell more. They are now $4.8 million in Q3.
Worry ifOperating expenses go up or do not drop much in Q4.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show how well the company is managing its challenges. They are key to assessing future performance.
Watch forEarnings results were better than what analysts thought.
Also watch forEarnings results fall short of expectations by a large amount.
Why it matters: Fixing the delisting notice is key for keeping market trust and getting funds.
Supportive ifFlux Power meets the $1.00 per share minimum bid rule.
Worry ifFailure to meet the minimum bid requirement leads to delisting.
Why it matters: If the sector's revenue growth picks up, it may benefit Flux Power's performance.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth exceeds 5% year over year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth remains below 5% year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$299 on $10,000 · ±3.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,151 loss on $10,000 · 11.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,231 loss on $10,000 · 92.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Stabilization would show recovery from past issues. It would help revenue growth.
Watch forCustomer orders return to pre-freeze levels or show consistent growth.
Also watch forThere may be more ups and downs in customer orders or more capital freezes.
Why it matters: This agreement may give needed money and help growth plans. It shows management can get funding.
Supportive ifA press release confirms the agreement was signed and initial funding is in place.
Worry ifNo news or delays in the agreement's signing or funding.
Why it matters: New partnerships can expand Flux's market reach and improve sales. This is crucial for long-term growth.
Supportive ifThey announce new OEM partnerships that improve product offerings.
Worry ifNo new OEM partnerships mean growth is not moving forward.
Why it matters: This growth shows that management's plan is working. It also helps build investor trust.
Supportive ifQ4 revenue exceeds $9.84 million, which is a 20% increase from Q3.
Worry ifQ4 revenue falls below $9.84 million, indicating growth targets were not met.
Why it matters: Keeping expenses low helps make more money. It also shows good cost management.
Supportive ifOperating costs were under $4.4 million in Q4.
Worry ifOperating expenses went over $4.4 million. This shows there are cost management problems.
Why it matters: Getting new customers is important for making more money. It also helps diversify the customer base.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of at least one new large customer order exceeding $1 million in Q4.
Worry ifNo big new customer orders were announced in Q4. This may mean sales are slowing.
Why it matters: Fixing the delisting notice is important. It helps keep investor trust and market access.
Supportive ifFlux Power got confirmation that it meets Nasdaq listing rules.
Worry ifNot meeting Nasdaq listing rules could lead to delisting.