Flux Power Holdings Inc (FLUX)
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.41-7.21%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FLUX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -90.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 32.0% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 122.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 13 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
FLUX — earnings in line
Dated 2026-11-03
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 3, Flux Power Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing, among other things, limited financial and operational information for its fiscal first quarter ended September 30, 2026 and provided certain forward-looking performance estimates. In addition, the Company will hold a conference call on November 3, 2026 to discuss such results. The full text of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current…
Why it matters: Q4 gross margin was 27.4%, down from 34.5% a year earlier. A recovery would show progress on lower costs and product redesign.
Supportive ifQ1 gross margin is above 27.4%. The company reports lower product costs or gains from product redesign.
Worry ifQ1 gross margin is below 27.4%, or the company reports higher product or supply costs.
Why it matters: The company lost money in Q4 and had only $0.3 million in cash at June 30. Smaller losses could ease pressure on funding.
Supportive ifQ1 adjusted EBITDA loss is less than $1.6 million, and cash at quarter end is above $0.3 million.
Worry ifQ1 adjusted EBITDA loss is $1.6 million or more, or quarter-end cash is at or below $0.3 million.
Why it matters: Revenue rose 25% from Q3 to Q4, but it was still far below last year's $16.7 million. The next report tests if orders keep growing.
Supportive ifQ1 revenue is above $8.2 million. Year-over-year results also improve from Q4's 51% decline.
Worry ifQ1 revenue is at or below $8.2 million, or the year-over-year decline is as large as or worse than Q4's 51%.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$320 on $10,000 · ±3.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $952 loss on $10,000 · 9.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,322 loss on $10,000 · 83.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.