FMC Corporation (FMC)
NYSEMaterialsAgricultural InputsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$12.97-0.08%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsAgricultural InputsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FMC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -25.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 11.6% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 36.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 6 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
FMC — credit agreement
Dated 2026-06-23
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On June 16, 2026, FMC Corporation (the “Company”) and certain subsidiaries of the Company entered into Amendment No. 7 (the “Amendment”) to that certain Fifth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, dated as of June 17, 2022 (as previously amended from time to time, the “Credit Agreement”), among the Company, certain of the Company’s subsidiaries from time to time party thereto, Citibank, N.A., as administrative agent, and each lender and issuing ban…
Why it matters: Successful debt reduction is key to improving FMC's financial health.
Supportive ifFMC says it finished asset sales or other actions worth $1 billion.
Worry ifNo major progress has been made on debt reduction efforts.
Why it matters: A larger decline would signal ongoing demand issues and pressure on margins.
Worry ifQ3 revenue excluding India drops more than 9% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue excluding India declines less than 9% year over year.
Why it matters: A bigger drop would show ongoing problems in sales and market conditions.
Worry ifQ2 revenue was below $850 million. This shows a decline worse than 17%.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue stabilizes or declines less than 17% year over year.
Why it matters: Progress on strategic options could lead to significant changes for FMC.
Supportive ifManagement shares a final deal from the review.
Worry ifNo news or a statement that the evaluation has stopped.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$207 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $617 loss on $10,000 · 6.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,318 loss on $10,000 · 73.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Details on the buyback may show management's trust in the company's value.
Supportive ifFMC shares details on the buyback program, like timing and amount.
Worry ifNo further details are provided, or the buyback is canceled.
Why it matters: This investment is crucial for FMC to meet its $1 billion debt reduction goal.
Supportive ifThe investment closes successfully. This gives FMC the capital it needs to reduce debt.
Worry ifThe investment does not close. This raises worries about FMC's financial stability.
Why it matters: This investment is crucial for FMC to meet its $1 billion debt reduction target.
Supportive ifThe deal will close after it gets regulatory approvals.
Worry ifThe investment fails to close due to regulatory or other issues.
Why it matters: This shows ongoing problems with making money. A lower EBITDA could mean bigger issues.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA was less than $120 million.
Less concerning ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA was more than $120 million.
Why it matters: Strong sales growth would prove FMC's strategy and help future revenue.
Supportive ifSales of new active ingredients were above $300 million for 2026.
Worry ifSales of new active ingredients fall below $300 million for 2026.
Why it matters: Completing this sale is important for FMC's debt reduction and financial health.
Supportive ifThe sale of the India commercial business is done. It generated $252 million.
Worry ifThe sale faces delays or fails to close, impacting FMC's debt reduction plans.
Why it matters: A share buyback would signal management's confidence in the company's future. It could also support the stock price.
Supportive ifA formal announcement of a share buyback program with a set dollar amount.
Worry ifNo announcement of a buyback program or a delay in plans.
Why it matters: The results will show if FMC can stabilize revenue amid declining trends.
Watch forQ2 revenue is over $850 million. This shows better performance than expected.
Also watch forQ2 revenue is under $850 million. This confirms a drop in revenue.
Why it matters: Fixing negative cash flow is key for financial health. Positive cash flow shows better performance.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations turns positive for the next quarter.
Worry ifCash flow from operations remains negative or worsens.
Why it matters: Better operating income shows good cost management. This can help stabilize the company.
Supportive ifOperating income is better than last quarter. It is getting closer to breakeven.
Worry ifOperating income is still going down from last quarter.
Why it matters: This sale is part of FMC's strategy to improve liquidity and reduce debt.
Supportive ifThe sale is completed and proceeds are used to pay down debt.
Worry ifThe sale faces delays or fails to close.