FMC Corporation (FMC)
NYSEMaterialsAgricultural InputsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$6.07-5.45%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsAgricultural InputsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FMC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -30.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 20.2% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 50.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and missed its most recent quarter. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 1 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
FMC — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-29
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION On October 29, 2026, FMC Corporation issued a press release announcing the financial results for the three months ended September 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K.
Why it matters: FMC now sees cash flow of negative $350 million to negative $150 million. A larger cash loss could add strain while the company works to cut debt.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 free cash flow is below negative $350 million.
Less concerning ifFull-year 2026 free cash flow is at least negative $350 million and lands within the revised range.
Why it matters: That is the low end of FMC's revised Q4 revenue range. A miss would deepen the demand slump.
Worry ifQ4 revenue excluding India is below $1.04 billion, the low end of the revised range.
Less concerning ifQ4 revenue excluding India is at least $1.04 billion and reaches the guided range.
Why it matters: FMC says customer work will take three quarters. Better product flow could help restore channel orders.
Watch forBy Q3 2027, FMC reports that price changes are complete. Channel orders are replenishing without another large price reset.
Also watch forBy Q3 2027, customer work remains incomplete, or FMC records another large charge to clear channel goods.
Why it matters: Management tied asset sales and other funding to debt reduction. The supplied updates do not show how much debt was repaid.
Watch forFMC reports debt paydown tied to the planned proceeds, with a stated amount and updated debt balance.
Also watch forFMC reports little or no debt paydown, or its debt balance rises in the next update.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$215 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $653 loss on $10,000 · 6.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,526 loss on $10,000 · 75.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.