Fabrinet (FN)
NYSEInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$407.40+3.14%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 17.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 28.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 10.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
FN — credit agreement
Dated 2026-08-17
Entry Into a Material Definitive Agreement. On August 17, 2026, Fabrinet Co., Ltd., a private limited company incorporated and existing under the laws of Thailand (the “Borrower”), and Bank of Ayudhya Public Company Limited (the “Bank”) entered into an amendment (the “Amendment Agreement”) to the Credit Facility Agreement, dated as of August 20, 2019, by and between the Borrower and the Bank (as amended, the “Facility Agreement”), to (1) increase the facility to THB 2.61 billion (approximatel…
Why it matters: Lower margins might mean there are problems or more competition.
Worry ifGross profit margins decline below 11.9%.
Less concerning ifGross profit margins remain above 11.9%.
Why it matters: Sector growth trends can impact Fabrinet's performance and outlook.
Worry ifSector revenue growth drops below its median of 5%.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median of 10%.
Why it matters: Stalling margins can show problems in operations. This raises worries about Fabrinet's cost control.
Worry ifGross profit margin shows no improvement or is declining.
Less concerning ifGross profit margins continue to improve quarter over quarter.
Why it matters: Better margins show improved cost control and pricing power. This helps overall financial health.
Supportive ifGross profit margin rises compared to last quarter.
Worry ifGross profit margin falls compared to last quarter.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth would signal a potential slowdown in Fabrinet's expansion. This could raise concerns about future performance.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth reported below 20% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue growth remains above 20% year over year.
Why it matters: Higher operating income means better cost control. It also shows the company runs well.
Supportive ifOperating income was over $120 million in Q4.
Worry ifOperating income was under $120 million in Q4.
Why it matters: Fabrinet's guidance sets expectations for revenue growth. A miss could signal weakening demand.
Worry ifQ1 revenue guidance comes in below $1.375 billion.
Less concerning ifQ1 revenue guidance meets or exceeds $1.425 billion.
Why it matters: Earnings per share shows how much money a company makes. A lower EPS may mean problems.
Worry ifQ1 non-GAAP EPS guidance is below $4.10.
Less concerning ifQ1 non-GAAP EPS guidance is above $4.25.
Why it matters: New agreements can drive revenue growth. Lack of new contracts may signal slowing momentum.
Supportive ifNew customer deals were announced in the datacom market.
Worry ifNo new customer deals were announced in the datacom market.
Why it matters: Growth in operating income is important for making money. A slowdown may show cost issues.
Worry ifOperating income growth falls below 10% year over year.
Less concerning ifOperating income growth remains above 10% year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$309 on $10,000 · ±3.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $814 loss on $10,000 · 8.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,708 loss on $10,000 · 47.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.