Fabrinet (FN)
NYSEInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-05
NYSEInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -11.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 29.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 40.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 30 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
FN — credit agreement
Dated 2026-08-17
Entry Into a Material Definitive Agreement. On August 17, 2026, Fabrinet Co., Ltd., a private limited company incorporated and existing under the laws of Thailand (the “Borrower”), and Bank of Ayudhya Public Company Limited (the “Bank”) entered into an amendment (the “Amendment Agreement”) to the Credit Facility Agreement, dated as of August 20, 2019, by and between the Borrower and the Bank (as amended, the “Facility Agreement”), to (1) increase the facility to THB 2.61 billion (approximatel…
Why it matters: The prior quarter set a record for non-GAAP EPS. Q1 results will show whether earnings keep pace with sales.
Watch forQ1 FY2027 non-GAAP EPS is at least $4.25, above the top of guidance.
Also watch forQ1 FY2027 non-GAAP EPS is below $4.10, under the bottom of guidance.
Why it matters: FY2026 revenue grew 36%. A sharp slowdown would test management's view that growth trends can last.
Worry ifA reported FY2027 quarter shows revenue growth below 20% year over year.
Less concerning ifA reported FY2027 quarter shows revenue growth at or above 36% year over year.
Why it matters: Inventory rose from $581M to $1.02B in one year, faster than revenue. More growth could point to slower sales or supply strain.
Worry ifInventory rises year over year by more than 36% while revenue growth is below 36%.
Less concerning ifInventory growth is at or below revenue growth, or inventory falls year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$304 on $10,000 · ±3.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $845 loss on $10,000 · 8.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,075 loss on $10,000 · 60.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.