Funko, Inc. (FNKO)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryLeisureSnapshot 2026-11-04
$6.56+4.46%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryLeisureSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FNKO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 7.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 7.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 0.8 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 5 industry peers
FNKO — officer change
Dated 2026-03-06
Chief International Officer — Andrew Oddie: Mr. Oddie's job title was changed to Chief International Officer and he will no longer reside in the United States for his employment.
Why it matters: Funko lifted its full-year adjusted EBITDA range to $100 million-$110 million. Q3 results will test that higher target.
Supportive ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA is at least $25 million, within the $25 million-$30 million guide.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA is below $25 million, missing the bottom of the guide.
Why it matters: Funko grew sales 7.4% in Q2 and kept its full-year sales outlook. Q3 will test whether that growth lasts.
Supportive ifIn the November 5, 2026 report, Q3 net sales rise year over year, above the guide of about flat.
Worry ifQ3 net sales fall year over year, missing the guide of about flat.
Why it matters: Loungefly sales fell 1.7% in Q2. Funko plans to trim its SKU count and focus on items with stronger demand.
Supportive ifLoungefly sales rise from a year ago in a reported quarter after the assortment cuts.
Worry ifLoungefly sales fall year over year again after the assortment cuts.
Why it matters: Q2 gross margin included a $25.4 million tariff benefit. The Q3 margin result can show how much strength remains without that noted Q2 benefit.
Watch forQ3 gross margin is at least 43%, within or above the 43%-44% guide.
Also watch forQ3 gross margin is below 43%, missing the bottom of the guide.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$245 on $10,000 · ±2.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $554 loss on $10,000 · 5.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,408 loss on $10,000 · 44.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Funko reported $201.1 million of debt at June 30, down from $225.3 million at year-end. Further cuts would show continued debt reduction.
Supportive ifThe next report shows total debt below $201.1 million.
Worry ifThe next report shows total debt at or above $201.1 million.